Freshpet stock
FRPTNASDAQFreshpet, Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US3580391056
57Score 57 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
70 / 100
Price history
+16% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 12 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 1.4% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 51).
The price is 24% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 12 years: 79% (April 2021 to September 2022).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$64.13
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$63.72
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)51
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$47.39
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$85.50
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Freshpet, Inc. belongs to the Packaged Foods industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.18B, is number 45 of 75 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.1B (up 13% year on year) and earnings of $139.14M (up 196.5%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.23B (up 11.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.00.
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 57 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 194 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- Our model puts fair value at $44.51, with the price 45% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 28.2% a year since 2020, Packaged Foods median 5.4%.Growth 70
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 133% of earnings over the last 12 months.
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 23% since 2020.Capital allocation 30
- Volatile share priceVolatility 48% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 69
Its standout strengths are momentum and growth, while valuation and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 58 to 57.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $31.79 and expensive above $74.18 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $35.94, at 7.8% it would be $57.43.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 11.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2012, at around 28% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 39%, operating 9%, net 13%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 22 Feb 2027in 102 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.58 (expected $0.39)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.00+0.4%
- Revenue
- $1.23B+0.2%
- Earnings per share
- $1.83+0.2%
- Revenue
- $1.33B+0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +7.0%2026 guidance raised: net sales growth of 10% to 12% (previously 8% to 11%), adjusted EBITDA of $210 million to $220 million (previously $205 million to $215 million), adjusted gross margin of at least 49%.
“We now expect adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $210 million to $220 million, an increase of 7% to 12% year-over-year compared to $205 million to $215 million previously. Adjusted EBITDA dollars and margins are still expected to improve sequentially for the remainder of the year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 5 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
5 insiders bought on the open market between 18 May 2026 and 20 May 2026, $348,889 in total. One insider sold, $30.86M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- George Walter N.Purchase
14 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $64.92
- Value
- $64,920
- Cyr William B.Sale
26 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 39,664
- Price
- $74.72
- Value
- $2.96M
- Cyr William B.Sale
24 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 43,960
- Price
- $75.85
- Value
- $3.33M
Show 14 more
- Cyr William B.Sale
21 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 43,945
- Price
- $73.90
- Value
- $3.25M
- Cyr William B.Sale
19 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 44,078
- Price
- $74.72
- Value
- $3.29M
- Cyr William B.Sale
17 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 44,067
- Price
- $72.83
- Value
- $3.21M
- Cyr William B.Sale
14 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 44,069
- Price
- $72.90
- Value
- $3.21M
- Cyr William B.Sale
22 May 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 46,814
- Price
- $51.04
- Value
- $2.39M
- Cyr William B.Sale
20 May 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 47,582
- Price
- $47.88
- Value
- $2.28M
- Brewster Daryl GPurchase
20 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 211
- Price
- $47.52
- Value
- $10,027
- Steeneck Craig D.Purchase
20 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $47.83
- Value
- $95,660
- Mclevish Timothy RPurchase
18 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $48.67
- Value
- $146,010
- Biegger DavidPurchase
18 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $49.14
- Value
- $49,142
- Kelley Jacki SuePurchase
18 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $48.05
- Value
- $48,050
- Cyr William B.Sale
18 May 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 47,181
- Price
- $49.01
- Value
- $2.31M
- Cyr William B.Sale
15 May 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 47,183
- Price
- $49.30
- Value
- $2.33M
- Cyr William B.Sale
13 May 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 46,818
- Price
- $48.98
- Value
- $2.29M
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Freshpet
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 57
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Packaged Foods
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- GlanbiaGL9.IR $5.23B67
- AAK AB (publ.)AAK.ST $4.63B61
- Post HoldingsPOST $3.55B60
- SüdzuckerSZU.DE $3.43B43
- Ebro FoodsEBRO.MC $3.07B63
- MarzettiMZTI $3.04B67
- Central Garden & PetCENT $2.91B65
- Bell Food GroupBELL.SW $2B58
ETFs that hold Freshpet
Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.19% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.10% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.09% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.04% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.03% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.00% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.00% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 23 Jan 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.