Ingredion stock
INGRNYSEIngredion Incorporated, Consumer DefensiveISIN US4571871023
61Score 61 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
38 / 100
Price history
−14% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 11% below it.
Since August 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 41).
The price is 23% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 65% (June 2008 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$96.75
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$104.70
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)41
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$91.72
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$120.41
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Ingredion Incorporated belongs to the Packaged Foods industry (United States) and, with a market value of $5.78B, is number 39 of 76 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $7.22B (down 2.8% year on year) and earnings of $729M (up 12.7%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $7.19B (down 0.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $10.41 (down 6.4%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 61 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 166 of 296 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- The P/E is 10.5 (Packaged Foods median 18.5, own median of recent years 14.8).
- Our model puts fair value at $202.52, with the price 54% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 28 years.Capital allocation 73
- Below fair valuePrice 54% below the fair value of $202.52.Valuation 87
- Modestly valuedP/E 10.5, Packaged Foods median 18.5, own median 14.8.Valuation 87
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are stability and valuation, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- calm price action
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $168.77 and expensive above $253.15 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $241.72 (cash-flow model) and $163.33 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $181.81, at 7.8% it would be $233.63.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 5% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 25%, operating 14%, net 10%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 2 Feb 2027in 81 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $2.28 (expected $2.59)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $10.41−0.6%
- Revenue
- $7.19B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $11.08−0.3%
- Revenue
- $7.33B+0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +2.9%Adjusted EPS guidance for 2026 of $10.30 to $10.90 confirmed; after the sale of the Pakistan stake, adjusted operating income is now expected to be down mid-single digits.
“We expect full year adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $10.30 to $10.90, in line with previous guidance after reflecting the sale of our majority stake in the Pakistan business.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $170,039 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Fischer David BSale
5 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,662
- Price
- $102.31
- Value
- $170,039
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Ingredion
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
296 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 61
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Packaged Foods
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Campbell SoupCPB $6.58B54
- Pilgrim's PridePPC $6.49B52
- EmmiEMMN.SW $6.25B69
- Toyo Suisan Kaisha2875.T $6.23B74
- GlanbiaGL9.IR $5.24B68
- Nissin Foods Holdings2897.T $5.16B56
- Yamazaki Baking2212.T $5.07B75
- AAK AB (publ.)AAK.ST $4.6B62
ETFs that hold Ingredion
Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.43% | 0.39% | €1.49B |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.18% | 0.30% | €5.36B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.16% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
Show 5 more
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.06% | 0.35% | €8.27B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.03% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.02% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €178.55M |
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.01% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 14 Aug 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.