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Yamazaki Baking stock

2212.TJPX

Yamazaki Baking Co., Ltd., Consumer DefensiveISIN JP3935600001

$26.15▲ $0.38 (+1.5%)Closing price of 13 Nov 2026

75Score 75 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

89 / 100

Price history

+31% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 21% above it.

Trend change

Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 57).

Distance to the high

The price is at its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 53% (July 2016 to March 2022).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$23.84
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$21.57
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)57
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$18.60
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$26.34
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$5.07B
Div. yield
1.46%
12 months
18.8
17.5
on earnings for the next twelve months ($1.48 per share)
Fair value
$34.55

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Yamazaki Baking Co., Ltd. belongs to the Packaged Foods industry (Japan) and, with a market value of $5.15B, is number 42 of 76 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $8.21B (up 5.4% year on year) and earnings of $256.07M (up 13.5%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $8.56B (up 4.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.37 (up 6.3%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 75 out of 100 (Strong): rank 26 of 296 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
  • The P/E is 19.1 (Packaged Foods median 24.4, own median of recent years 26.9).
  • Our model puts fair value at $34.55, with the price 25% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings per share growingUp 45.2% a year since 2020.Growth 76
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 24 years.Capital allocation 77
  • Below fair valuePrice 25% below the fair value of $34.55.Valuation 70

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

75/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are technical analysis and momentum, while profitability holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)65%
ROIC (12 months)10.1%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk not measured

How well MEQIRI warns

For stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$25.77
Fair value
$34.55
Gap to fair value
−25%

Closing price of 12 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $26.58 and expensive above $49.36 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $35.67 (cash-flow model) and $33.43 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 6.1%. At 7.1% the fair value would be $31.48, at 5.1% it would be $39.16.

Valuation metrics

3.08
7.4
Fair value (model)
$34.55
Earnings part $33.43 (earnings per share $1.37 × 24.4)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (24.4).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 4.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 33%, operating 5%, net 3%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.18
42.9x
1.4
Cash & equivalents
$1.06B

The balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
16 Feb 2027in 95 days
Last reported
27 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.24 (expected $0.21)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 10 Nov 2026.

Fiscal 20269 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.370.0%
Revenue
$8.56B0.0%
Fiscal 20279 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.490.0%
Revenue
$8.84B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 10 Nov 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at Yamazaki Baking

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

296 rated companies in Consumer Defensive

Rank 26 of 296
26/ 296
This company
75
Sector median
62

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 296 companies45 (median 54)9 below the median
GrowthMedian of 296 companies76 (median 50)26 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 296 companies76 (median 79)3 below the median
ValuationMedian of 291 companies with a value70 (median 65)5 above the median
StabilityMedian of 296 companies85 (median 68)17 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 296 companies77 (median 62)15 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 296 companies89 (median 64)25 above the median
MomentumMedian of 296 companies89 (median 59)30 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Packaged Foods

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 76 Packaged Foods stocks

ETFs that hold Yamazaki Baking

Held by 25 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
iShares MSCI Japan Small Cap UCITS ETFIUS40.22%0.58%€548.59M
iShares STOXX World Equity Multifactor UCITS ETFIBCZ0.09%0.30%€826.24M
Amundi Prime Japan UCITS ETF DR (D)PR1J0.06%0.05%€4.34B
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 13 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = ¥159.70)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 9 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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