Walmart stock
WMTNASDAQWalmart Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US9311421039
62Score 62 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
63 / 100
Price history
+22% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 6.1% above it.
Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 64).
The price is 6.0% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 38% (January 2015 to November 2015).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$114.14
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$118.88
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)64
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$100.61
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$134.20
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Walmart Inc. belongs to the Discount Stores industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1T, is the largest of 15 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $713.16B (up 4.7% year on year) and earnings of $21.89B (up 12.6%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $752.69B (up 5.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.89 (up 9%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 62 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 161 of 296 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- The P/E is 45.6 (Discount Stores median 21, own median of recent years 30.5).
- Our model puts fair value at $72.75, with the price 73% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 52 years.Capital allocation 80
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2017 to 2026.Fundamentals 81
- Share buybacksShare count down 6% since 2021.Capital allocation 80
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 73% above the fair value of $72.75.Valuation 21
- Richly valuedP/E 45.6, Discount Stores median 21, own median 30.5.Valuation 21
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation, while growth and valuation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among the 100 largest stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 4 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 9 in 100.
What lowers it
- very large company
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $55.96 and expensive above $103.93 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $87.42 (cash-flow model) and $58.08 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $64.87, at 7.8% it would be $84.63.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (21).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 31 Jul 2026, revenue rose 6.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 25%, operating 4%, net 3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 19 Nov 2026in 6 days
- Last reported
- 20 Aug 2026EPS reported $0.81 (expected $0.74)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.890.0%
- Revenue
- $752.69B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $3.23+0.2%
- Revenue
- $785.8B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −9.3%Full year guidance was raised to sales growth of 4% to 5%, operating income growth of 7% to 8.5% and EPS of $2.80 to $2.87 from 3.5% to 4.5%, 6% to 8% and $2.75 to $2.85.
“Regarding operating income, we're raising our full year guidance to 7% to 8.5% versus 6% to 8% previously.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 20 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2027), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 9 insiders sold, $1.09B in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Bartlett Daniel JSale
2 Nov 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 3,346
- Price
- $124.51
- Value
- $416,607
- Kumar SureshSale
30 Oct 2026, Chief Technology Officer
- Shares
- 166,342
- Price
- $123.21
- Value
- $20.49M
- Furner John R.Sale
15 Oct 2026, President & CEO
- Shares
- 13,125
- Price
- $120.60
- Value
- $1.58M
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- Nicholas Christopher JamesSale
15 Oct 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 2,900
- Price
- $120.60
- Value
- $349,751
- Watkins LatrieceSale
14 Oct 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $115.00
- Value
- $575,000
- Bartlett Daniel JSale
1 Oct 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 3,990
- Price
- $104.41
- Value
- $416,596
- Furner John R.Sale
17 Sept 2026, President & CEO
- Shares
- 13,125
- Price
- $106.66
- Value
- $1.4M
- Nicholas Christopher JamesSale
17 Sept 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 2,900
- Price
- $106.65
- Value
- $309,286
- Bartlett Daniel JSale
1 Sept 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 3,950
- Price
- $105.14
- Value
- $415,298
- Danker DanielSale
26 Aug 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 50,644
- Price
- $105.35
- Value
- $5.34M
- Nicholas Christopher JamesSale
20 Aug 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 2,900
- Price
- $106.34
- Value
- $308,383
- Bartlett Daniel JSale
3 Aug 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 3,710
- Price
- $113.10
- Value
- $419,601
- Nicholas Christopher JamesSale
16 Jul 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 2,900
- Price
- $114.14
- Value
- $330,998
- Bartlett Daniel JSale
1 Jul 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 3,775
- Price
- $109.64
- Value
- $413,891
- Nicholas Christopher JamesSale
18 Jun 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 2,900
- Price
- $118.19
- Value
- $342,752
- Walton Family Holdings TrustSale
16 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 4,424,704
- Price
- $121.09
- Value
- $535.79M
- Bartlett Daniel JSale
15 Jun 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 1,385
- Price
- $119.83
- Value
- $165,965
- Guggina David WSale
10 Jun 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 11,978
- Price
- $119.82
- Value
- $1.44M
- Walton Family Holdings TrustSale
2 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 1,771,333
- Price
- $113.32
- Value
- $200.72M
- Walton Family Holdings TrustSale
28 May 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 207,649
- Price
- $119.01
- Value
- $24.71M
- McMillon C DouglasSale
28 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 19,416
- Price
- $118.63
- Value
- $2.3M
- Watkins LatrieceSale
28 May 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 11,000
- Price
- $118.97
- Value
- $1.31M
- Walton Family Holdings TrustSale
27 May 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 254,178
- Price
- $119.05
- Value
- $30.26M
- Walton Family Holdings TrustSale
26 May 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 532,340
- Price
- $119.21
- Value
- $63.46M
- Walton Family Holdings TrustSale
22 May 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 1,591,500
- Price
- $120.00
- Value
- $190.98M
- Furner John R.Sale
21 May 2026, President & CEO
- Shares
- 13,125
- Price
- $124.08
- Value
- $1.63M
- Nicholas Christopher JamesSale
21 May 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 2,900
- Price
- $123.92
- Value
- $359,368
- Bartlett Daniel JSale
15 May 2026, Executive Vice President
- Shares
- 1,250
- Price
- $133.77
- Value
- $167,213
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Walmart
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
296 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 62
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Discount Stores
The next smaller companies by market value
- Costco WholesaleCOST $483.99B71
- TargetTGT $73.1B70
- DollaramaDOL.TO $41.55B80
- Dollar GeneralDG $29.7B65
- Dollar TreeDLTR $26.51B71
- Avenue SupermartsDMART.NS $23.95B53
- BJ's Wholesale Club HoldingsBJ $14.01B63
- BBB FoodsTBBB $8.2B49
ETFs that hold Walmart
Held by 132 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Consumer Staples Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDS | 17.15% | 0.15% | €342.88M |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Staples UCITS ETF 1DXUCS | 17.07% | 0.12% | €107.01M |
| iShares S&P 500 Consumer Staples Sector UCITS ETF2B7D | 17.02% | 0.15% | €518.36M |
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| Xtrackers MSCI World Consumer Staples UCITS ETF 1CXDWS | 11.16% | 0.25% | €965.83M |
| iShares MSCI World Consumer Staples Sector ESG UCITS ETF USD3SUE | 5.52% | 0.18% | €100.45M |
| Xtrackers Artificial Intelligence & Big Data UCITS ETF 1CXAIX | 5.37% | 0.35% | €7.75B |
| iShares NASDAQ 100 UCITS ETF USD (Acc)SXRV | 2.97% | 0.30% | €25.96B |
| Invesco EQQQ Nasdaq-100 UCITS ETFEQQQ | 2.96% | 0.30% | €18.92B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Jan 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 7 Mar 2025)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.