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Dollarama stock

DOL.TOTSX

Dollarama Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN CA25675T1075

$153.48▲ $1.74 (+1.1%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

80Score 80 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

87 / 100

Price history

+16% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 17 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 18% above it.

Trend change

Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 61).

Distance to the high

The price is at its 52-week high. Largest decline in 17 years: 45% (January 2018 to December 2018).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$134.72
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$130.59
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)61
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$116.26
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$154.55
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$41.22B
Div. yield
0.21%
12 months
43.4
38.5
on earnings for the next twelve months ($3.99 per share)
Fair value
$87.80

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Dollarama Inc. belongs to the Discount Stores industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $41.22B, is number 4 of 15 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $5.1B (up 13.1% year on year) and earnings of $919.89M (up 12.1%).
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $5.71B (up 12.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.62 (up 9%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 80 out of 100 (Strong): rank 11 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
  • The P/E is 43.4 (Consumer Defensive sector median 23.4, own median of recent years 28.3).
  • Our model puts fair value at $87.80, with the price 75% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings per share growingUp 21.2% a year since 2021.Growth 84
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 15 years.Capital allocation 94
  • Share buybacksShare count down 11% since 2021.Capital allocation 94

Weaknesses

  • High debtDebt 4 times equity (latest quarter), Consumer Defensive sector median 0.18.Stability 58
  • Above fair valuePrice 75% above the fair value of $87.80.Valuation 21
  • Richly valuedP/E 43.4, Consumer Defensive sector median 23.4, own median 28.3.Valuation 21
80/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation, while valuation holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 79 to 80.

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)115%
ROIC (12 months)20.3%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk not measured

How well MEQIRI warns

For stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly overvalued
Price
$153.48
Fair value
$87.80
Gap to fair value
+75%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $67.54 and expensive above $125.43 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $92.80 (cash-flow model) and $82.81 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.2%. At 9.2% the fair value would be $80.03, at 7.2% it would be $99.47.

Valuation metrics

3.76
25.4
Fair value (model)
$87.80
Earnings part $82.81 (earnings per share $3.53 × 23.4)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the sector P/E (23.4).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

18 years

In the twelve months to 31 Jul 2026, revenue rose 17.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2009, at about 12% per year.

Margins

18 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 39%, operating 24%, net 18%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
4
9.4x
1.55
Cash & equivalents
$337.02M

Meaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
10 Dec 2026in 28 days
Last reported
16 Sep 2026EPS reported $0.91 (expected $0.89)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 28 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202717 analysts
Earnings per share
$3.620.0%
Revenue
$5.71B0.0%
Fiscal 202816 analysts
Earnings per share
$4.100.0%
Revenue
$6.1B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 28 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at Dollarama

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive

Rank 11 of 295
11/ 295
This company
80
Sector median
62

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 295 companies86 (median 54)32 above the median
GrowthMedian of 295 companies84 (median 50)34 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 295 companies95 (median 79)16 above the median
ValuationMedian of 290 companies with a value21 (median 65)44 below the median
StabilityMedian of 295 companies58 (median 68)10 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 295 companies94 (median 62)32 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 295 companies87 (median 65)22 above the median
MomentumMedian of 295 companies83 (median 60)23 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Discount Stores

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 15 Discount Stores stocks

ETFs that hold Dollarama

Held by 69 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Xtrackers MSCI Canada Screened UCITS ETF 1CD5BH1.50%0.35%€1.2B
iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETFSXR21.38%0.48%€2.15B
UBS MSCI Canada UCITS ETF CAD disUIM91.30%0.33%€2.06B
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Jan 2026
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CA$1.4235)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Sep 2026)
  • Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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