Target stock
TGTNYSETarget Corporation, Consumer DefensiveISIN US87612E1064
70Score 70 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
89 / 100
Price history
+78% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 20% above it.
Since January 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 54).
The price is 4.2% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 69% (November 2021 to November 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$156.47
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$136.13
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)54
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$83.68
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$169.89
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Target Corporation belongs to the Discount Stores industry (United States) and, with a market value of $73.91B, is number 3 of 15 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $104.78B (down 1.7% year on year) and earnings of $3.71B (down 9.4%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $110.17B (up 5.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $10.21 (up 34.8%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 70 out of 100 (Strong): rank 68 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- The P/E is 16.9 (Discount Stores median 21, own median of recent years 15.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $205.02, with the price 21% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 43 years.Capital allocation 84
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 87
- Share buybacksShare count down 9% since 2020.Capital allocation 84
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while growth holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 9 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price up very strongly over the past year
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- calm price action
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $157.71 and expensive above $292.89 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $208.24 (cash-flow model) and $201.80 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $187.15, at 7.8% it would be $231.87.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (21).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 1 Aug 2026, revenue rose 2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 3% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 28%, operating 5%, net 4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterMeaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Nov 2026in 6 days
- Last reported
- 19 Aug 2026EPS reported $4.11 (expected $2.35)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $10.21+0.1%
- Revenue
- $110.17B+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $9.64+0.1%
- Revenue
- $113.86B+0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +3.8%Full year net sales growth guidance was raised to around 5%, 1 point higher than before, with operating margin about 0.5 points above last year's 4.6% excluding tariff refunds.
“On the operating margin line, we now expect our full-year rate, excluding tariff refunds, will be in a range around 0.5 percentage point higher than last year's adjusted rate of 4.6%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 19 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 5 insiders sold, $19.68M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Target
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 70
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Discount Stores
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- WalmartWMT $1T62
- Costco WholesaleCOST $481.95B71
- DollaramaDOL.TO $41.22B80
- Dollar GeneralDG $30.32B66
- Dollar TreeDLTR $26.81B72
- Avenue SupermartsDMART.NS $24.14B53
- BJ's Wholesale Club HoldingsBJ $13.98B64
- BBB FoodsTBBB $8.14B49
ETFs that hold Target
Held by 132 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares MSCI World Consumer Staples Sector ESG UCITS ETF USD3SUE | 3.71% | 0.18% | €100.45M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Consumer Staples Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDS | 2.21% | 0.15% | €342.88M |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Staples UCITS ETF 1DXUCS | 2.19% | 0.12% | €107.01M |
Show 5 more
| iShares S&P 500 Consumer Staples Sector UCITS ETF2B7D | 2.15% | 0.15% | €518.36M |
| iShares Dow Jones U.S. Select Dividend UCITS ETF (DE)EXX5 | 1.74% | 0.31% | €415.03M |
| State Street SPDR S&P Global Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)ZPRG | 1.66% | 0.45% | €1.63B |
| UBS S&P Dividend Aristocrats ESG Elite UCITS ETF USD disUBUM | 1.53% | 0.30% | €237.98M |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Consumer Staples UCITS ETF 1CXDWS | 1.53% | 0.25% | €965.83M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Jan 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 5 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.