Vermilion Energy stock
VETNYSEVermilion Energy Inc., EnergyISIN CA9237251058
47Score 47 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
44 / 100
Price history
+23% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 16 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 6.9% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 20).
The price is 24% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 16 years: 98% (June 2014 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$12.32
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$11.70
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)20
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$7.83
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$14.42
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Vermilion Energy Inc. belongs to the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $1.67B, is number 44 of 69 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.24B (down 15% year on year) and a loss of $458.78M.
- MEQIRI Score 47 out of 100 (Weak): rank 209 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
Show more
- Our model puts fair value at $15.76, with the price 33% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- Loss-makingLoss of $339.7M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 55
- Margin fallingOperating margin 9.5%, average of the prior years 14.3% (to 2024).Profitability 32
- Volatile share priceVolatility 50% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 38
The score is held back by capital allocation and profitability.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 46 to 47.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $11.26 and expensive above $26.27 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.2%. At 9.2% the fair value would be $13.26, at 7.2% it would be $19.51.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 2.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 6% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 16%, operating 9%, net not measured.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 2 Mar 2027in 110 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported −0.16 (expected 0.27)below expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- 0.59+4.2%
- Revenue
- $1.54B+50.7%
- Earnings per share
- 1.67+44.4%
- Revenue
- $1.59B+45.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −13.0%Production is trending toward the upper end of the full year guidance range without higher capital spending; second quarter production expected at 123,000 to 125,000 BOE per day.
“We will actively manage around lower AECO pricing to prioritize value over volumes, and we expect Q2 2026 production to average between 123,000 and 125,000 BOE a day.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 May 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Vermilion Energy
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
266 rated companies in Energy
- This company
- 47
- Sector median
- 60
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Talos EnergyTALO $2.55B47
- DNODNO.OL $2.13B75
- BKVBKV $2.08B44
- NextdecadeNEXT $1.76B27
- Etablissements Maurel & PromMAU.PA $1.59B58
- Kimbell Royalty PartnersKRP $1.54B61
- Mach Natural ResourcesMNR $1.52B54
- BlueNordBNOR.OL $1.46B48
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CA$1.4235)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak since 8 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 8 Nov 2026, previously Undervalued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.