Talos Energy stock
TALONYSETalos Energy Inc., EnergyISIN US87484T1088
48Score 48 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
57 / 100
Price history
+54% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 9 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 5.3% above it.
Since September 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 32).
The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 9 years: 86% (August 2018 to April 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$16.94
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$15.18
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)32
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$10.39
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$18.55
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Talos Energy Inc. belongs to the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.65B, is number 39 of 69 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.78B (down 9.8% year on year) and a loss of $496.36M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.33B (up 30.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.45.
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- MEQIRI Score 48 out of 100 (Weak): rank 203 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
- Our model puts fair value at $5.12, with the price 212% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 159% since 2020.Capital allocation 33
- Margin fallingOperating margin −5.9%, average of the prior years 14.4% (to 2024).Profitability 34
- Above fair valuePrice 212% above the fair value of $5.12.Valuation 36
Its standout strengths are growth and momentum, while profitability and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 47 to 48.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $3.66 and expensive above $8.53 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $4.85, at 7.8% it would be $5.49.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 13.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2015, at around 19% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 3%, operating −6%, net −28%. Last 12 months: net −18%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 23 Feb 2027in 102 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.58 (expected $0.42)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 20.0% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.45+3.6%
- Revenue
- $2.33B+4.3%
- Earnings per share
- $1.36+20.0%
- Revenue
- $2.38B+7.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −1.3%2026 production guidance for the stand-alone business raised after record free cash flow and wells outperforming expectations.
“On the heels of a great first 6 months, we're increasing our full year 2026 production outlook for the stand-alone business.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 5 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $369.26M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
28 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 1,200,000
- Price
- $18.33
- Value
- $21.99M
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
27 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 308,586
- Price
- $18.50
- Value
- $5.71M
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
23 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 2,500,000
- Price
- $18.33
- Value
- $45.82M
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- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
19 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 2,141,590
- Price
- $18.01
- Value
- $38.56M
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
16 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 2,700,000
- Price
- $17.19
- Value
- $46.42M
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
15 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 52,000
- Price
- $17.01
- Value
- $884,551
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
14 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 265,446
- Price
- $17.30
- Value
- $4.59M
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
13 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 2,700,000
- Price
- $17.51
- Value
- $47.28M
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
12 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 2,200,000
- Price
- $17.25
- Value
- $37.95M
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
9 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 1,730,000
- Price
- $17.08
- Value
- $29.55M
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
8 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 2,310,000
- Price
- $17.03
- Value
- $39.34M
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
6 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 480,000
- Price
- $16.96
- Value
- $8.14M
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
15 Sept 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 1,381,000
- Price
- $18.52
- Value
- $25.58M
- Moss William S. IIISale
2 Sept 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 120,000
- Price
- $17.32
- Value
- $2.08M
- Babcock GregorySale
27 Aug 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 61,307
- Price
- $16.74
- Value
- $1.03M
- Spath John B.Sale
27 Aug 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 90,000
- Price
- $16.90
- Value
- $1.52M
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
20 May 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 339,568
- Price
- $16.80
- Value
- $5.7M
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
19 May 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 150,000
- Price
- $16.38
- Value
- $2.46M
- Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.Sale
18 May 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 284,000
- Price
- $16.38
- Value
- $4.65M
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Talos Energy
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
266 rated companies in Energy
- This company
- 48
- Sector median
- 60
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Crescent EnergyCRGY $3.98B51
- Baytex EnergyBTE $3.03B49
- Black Stone MineralsBSM $2.99B75
- Gulfport EnergyGPOR $2.84B64
- Northern Oil and GasNOG $2.62B46
- DNODNO.OL $2.14B74
- BKVBKV $2.08B44
- NextdecadeNEXT $1.75B28
ETFs that hold Talos Energy
Held by 14 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Oil & Gas Exploration & Production UCITS ETF USD (Acc)IS0D | 0.26% | 0.55% | €382.18M |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.22% | 0.39% | €1.49B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.16% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
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| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.11% | 0.30% | €2.31B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.09% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.08% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.06% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.06% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Sep 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.