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Crescent Energy stock

CRGYNYSE

Crescent Energy Company, EnergyISIN US44952J1043

$12.04▲ $0.43 (+3.7%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

51Score 51 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

53 / 100

Price history

+32% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 5 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 0.9% below it.

Trend change

Since February 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 33).

Distance to the high

The price is 22% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 5 years: 62% (April 2022 to April 2025).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$13.28
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$12.15
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)33
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$7.75
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$15.37
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$3.98B
Div. yield
3.99%
12 months
64.1
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
4.2
on earnings for the next twelve months ($2.84 per share)
Fair value
$15.22

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Crescent Energy Company belongs to the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.98B, is number 35 of 69 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $5.06B (up 41.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.60 (up 42%).
  • MEQIRI Score 51 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 182 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
Show more
  • The P/E is 64.1 (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 11.1, own median of recent years 15.5).
  • Our model puts fair value at $15.22, with the price 21% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow above 500% of earnings over the last 12 months.
  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 36.5% a year since 2020, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 21.1%.Growth 81

Weaknesses

  • Richly valuedP/E 64.1, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 11.1, own median 15.5.Valuation 58
  • DilutionShare count up 43% since 2021.Capital allocation 30
  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.7 times.Stability 35
51/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strength is growth, while stability and capital allocation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency50% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)above 500%
ROIC (12 months)7.4%
Positive free cash flow25% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
  • high price swings
  • weak fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly undervalued
Price
$12.04
Fair value
$15.22
Gap to fair value
−21%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $10.87 and expensive above $25.36 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $28.36 (cash-flow model) and $2.08 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $12.61, at 7.8% it would be $19.15.

Valuation metrics

no data
5.6
Fair value (model)
$15.22
Earnings part $2.08 (earnings per share $0.19 × 11.1)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (11.1).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

8 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 33.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2018, at around 17% per year.

Margins

8 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 23%, operating 13%, net 4%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.92
1.7x
0.67
Cash & equivalents
$6.13M

Debt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
24 Feb 2027in 103 days
Last reported
2 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.77 (expected $0.59)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 17.0% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20267 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.60+4.1%
Revenue
$5.06B+2.9%
Fiscal 20278 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.88+17.0%
Revenue
$6.15B+2.1%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −1.7%

2026 production guidance raised to 327,000 to 335,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day and operating expense guidance improved, with the capital range unchanged.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We are increasing full year total production guidance to 327,000 to 335,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 3 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.

  • Liberty Mutual Foundation Inc.Sale

    7 May 2026, Major holder

    Shares
    32,600,000
    Price
    $12.33
    Value
    $401.96M
  • Rowland Marcus CSale

    6 May 2026, Board

    Shares
    40,000
    Price
    $13.25
    Value
    $530,000

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Crescent Energy

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

266 rated companies in Energy

Rank 182 of 266
182/ 266
This company
51
Sector median
60

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 266 companies39 (median 58)19 below the median
GrowthMedian of 266 companies81 (median 65)16 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 266 companies49 (median 62)13 below the median
ValuationMedian of 254 companies with a value58 (median 82)24 below the median
StabilityMedian of 266 companies35 (median 60)25 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 266 companies30 (median 48)18 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 266 companies53 (median 53)0 at the median
MomentumMedian of 266 companies58 (median 56)2 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 69 Oil & Gas Exploration & Production stocks

ETFs that hold Crescent Energy

Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral since 12 Nov 2026, previously Weak
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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