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tonies stock

TNIE.DEXETRA

tonies SE, Consumer CyclicalISIN LU2333563281

$14.74▼ $0.44 (−2.9%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

49Score 49 out of 100, Weak

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

76 / 100

Price history

+61% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 15% above it.

Trend change

Since September 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 38).

Distance to the high

The price is 8.3% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 74% (November 2021 to July 2022).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$13.83
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$12.81
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)38
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$9.56
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$16.07
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$1.82B
Div. yield
no dividend
Loss
24.3
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.61 per share)
Fair value
no data

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • tonies SE belongs to the Leisure industry (Luxembourg) and, with a market value of $1.82B, is number 23 of 34 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $698.49M (up 31.2% year on year) and earnings of $14.53M (up 0.2%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $873.81M (up 25.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.39.
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 49 out of 100 (Weak): rank 475 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 36.2% a year since 2020, Leisure median 11.5%.Growth 70

Weaknesses

  • DilutionShare count up 205% since 2020.Capital allocation 25
  • Loss-makingLoss of $14.54M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 22
  • Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$38.4M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 22
49/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while fundamentals and valuation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 50 to 49.

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency29% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)3.8%
Positive free cash flow29% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals

What lowers it

  • stable momentum

Valuation

Valuation signal

Overvalued
Price
$14.74
Fair value
not computable
Gap to fair value
no data

No fair value can be calculated for this stock, so the signal follows the valuation grade.

Valuation metrics

no data
43.9
Fair value (model)
no data

No fair value can be calculated for this stock from the available figures.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

7 years

In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 36.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2019, at around 35% per year.

Margins

7 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 38%, operating 4%, net 2%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.12
7x
1.51
Cash & equivalents
$36.51M

Low debt, and interest is adequately covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
8 Apr 2027in 146 days
Last reported
20 Aug 2026EPS reported −$0.26 (expected −$0.27)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20265 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.390.0%
Revenue
$873.81M0.0%
Fiscal 20275 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.64−0.1%
Revenue
$1.06B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +1.0%

2026 guidance confirmed: another year of profitable growth, adjusted EBITDA margin of 9% to 11% and positive free cash flow.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“Based on revenue of at least EUR 760 million for the full year and adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 13% to 16% an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 13% to 16% is required for H2 to achieve the full year guidance range of 9% to 11%.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

What happened at tonies

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 475 of 596
475/ 596
This company
49
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 596 companies25 (median 53)28 below the median
GrowthMedian of 596 companies70 (median 60)10 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 596 companies22 (median 73)51 below the median
ValuationMedian of 575 companies with a value10 (median 73)63 below the median
StabilityMedian of 596 companies74 (median 62)12 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 596 companies25 (median 59)34 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 596 companies76 (median 62)14 above the median
MomentumMedian of 596 companies93 (median 60)33 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Leisure

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 34 Leisure stocks

ETFs that hold tonies

Held by 1 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Amundi SDAX UCITS ETF DistC0052.55%0.70%€158.8M

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak since 13 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
  • Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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