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Thule Group stock

THULE.STSTO

Thule Group AB (publ), Consumer CyclicalISIN SE0006422390

$21.63▼ $0.12 (−0.6%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

63Score 63 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

58 / 100

Price history

−15% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 12 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.9% above it.

Trend change

Since April 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 77).

Distance to the high

The price is 15% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 12 years: 66% (December 2021 to October 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$20.09
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$21.44
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)77
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$18.73
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$25.59
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$2.35B
Div. yield
3.84%
12 months
18.7
16.7
on earnings for the next twelve months ($1.31 per share)
Fair value
$26.86

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Thule Group AB (publ) belongs to the Leisure industry (Sweden) and, with a market value of $2.33B, is number 21 of 35 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.05B (up 9.3% year on year) and earnings of $112.17M (down 0.7%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.06B (up 0.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.19 (up 13.2%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 63 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 283 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • The P/E is 18.6 (Leisure median 22.9, own median of recent years 25.8).
  • Our model puts fair value at $26.86, with the price 19% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 87
  • High dividend yieldDividend yield 3.84%, Leisure median 2.42%.Capital allocation 52
  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 104% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 87

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

63/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are fundamentals and stability, while growth holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)104%
ROIC (12 months)11.7%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly undervalued
Price
$21.75
Fair value
$26.86
Gap to fair value
−19%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $20.67 and expensive above $38.38 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $27.09 (cash-flow model) and $26.64 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.2%. At 8.2% the fair value would be $24.49, at 6.2% it would be $30.44.

Valuation metrics

1.93
12.5
Fair value (model)
$26.86
Earnings part $26.64 (earnings per share $1.16 × 22.9)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (22.9).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

15 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 1.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2011, at about 7% per year.

Margins

15 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 46%, operating 16%, net 11%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.53
7.5x
1.79
Cash & equivalents
$94.04M

Moderate debt, and interest is adequately covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
10 Feb 2027in 90 days
Last reported
22 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.36 (expected $0.33)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20268 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.19+2.5%
Revenue
$1.06B−0.3%
Fiscal 20278 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.32+0.4%
Revenue
$1.13B−0.5%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: −3.5%

About $5 million of tariff refunds are expected in Q3, the 2.5% price increase from August should offset tariff and raw material costs, and leverage is expected to decline further.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“Not fully in Q3 because of the timing impact, but then with the $5 million of expected tariff refunds, we expect that, that will actually more than offset the negative impact in Q3. So net positive from those 3 factors in Q3.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 20 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

What happened at Thule Group

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 283 of 602
283/ 602
This company
63
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 602 companies70 (median 53)17 above the median
GrowthMedian of 602 companies39 (median 60)21 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 602 companies87 (median 73)14 above the median
ValuationMedian of 580 companies with a value69 (median 72)3 below the median
StabilityMedian of 602 companies72 (median 62)10 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 602 companies52 (median 58)6 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 602 companies58 (median 63)5 below the median
MomentumMedian of 602 companies52 (median 62)10 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Leisure

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 35 Leisure stocks

ETFs that hold Thule Group

Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETFWTES0.44%0.38%€86.74M
iShares OMX Stockholm Capped UCITS ETFOM3X0.27%0.10%€197.05M
Xtrackers MSCI Europe Small Cap UCITS ETF 1CXXSC0.13%0.30%€3.43B
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = SEK 9.9317)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 28 Feb 2025)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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