Peloton Interactive stock
PTONNASDAQPeloton Interactive, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US70614W1009
55Score 55 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
72 / 100
Price history
−23% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 7 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 9.9% above it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 58).
The price is 24% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 7 years: 98% (January 2021 to August 2024).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$5.17
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$5.20
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)58
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$3.71
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$7.48
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Peloton Interactive, Inc. belongs to the Leisure industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.46B, is number 20 of 35 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.36B (down 3.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.32 (up 163.8%).
- MEQIRI Score 55 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 404 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
Show more
- The P/E is 20.7 (Leisure median 22.9, own median of recent years 42.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $7.05, with the price 19% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 323% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 60
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 18.2% in fiscal 2026, Leisure median 5.9%.Profitability 73
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 48% since 2021.Capital allocation 54
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.5 times.Stability 40
- Revenue shrinkingRevenue down 9.5% a year since 2021.Growth 32
Its standout strengths are profitability and technical analysis, while stability and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $5.04 and expensive above $11.75 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $7.76 (cash-flow model) and $6.35 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9%. At 10% the fair value would be $6.61, at 8% it would be $7.70.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (22.9).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 0.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2017, at around 31% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 53%, operating 8%, net 3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Feb 2027in 84 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.19 (expected $0.11)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2028 earnings estimate by 5.5% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $0.32−1.8%
- Revenue
- $2.36B−0.2%
- Earnings per share
- $0.31−5.5%
- Revenue
- $2.34B−0.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −12.9%First fiscal 2027 guidance: adjusted EBITDA of $475 million to $525 million and gross margin of about 54%; the company gave no earlier comparison.
“Our full year fiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $475 million to $525 million reflects an increase of $32 million or 7% year-over-year at the midpoint, primarily driven by operating expense savings connected to rightsizing our cost structure and the nonrecurring accrued legal contingency related to patent …”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q4 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $2.05M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Baig SaqibSale
20 Oct 2026, Chief Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $5.45
- Value
- $54,500
- Kirol Charles PeterSale
15 Oct 2026, Chief Operating Officer
- Shares
- 28,849
- Price
- $5.33
- Value
- $153,765
- Baig SaqibSale
19 Aug 2026, Chief Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 4,912
- Price
- $5.45
- Value
- $26,780
Show 10 more
- Sanders Dion C.Sale
19 Aug 2026, Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 112,512
- Price
- $5.45
- Value
- $613,427
- Baig SaqibSale
17 Aug 2026, Chief Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 36,439
- Price
- $5.36
- Value
- $195,437
- Boone KarenSale
17 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 25,000
- Price
- $5.35
- Value
- $133,665
- Kirol Charles PeterSale
20 Jul 2026, Chief Operating Officer
- Shares
- 3,198
- Price
- $6.49
- Value
- $20,753
- Baig SaqibSale
14 Jul 2026, Chief Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $6.12
- Value
- $30,589
- Baig SaqibSale
9 Jun 2026, Interim CFO, CAO
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $5.66
- Value
- $28,300
- Baig SaqibSale
22 May 2026, Interim CFO, CAO
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $5.45
- Value
- $27,250
- Sanders Dion C.Sale
20 May 2026, Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 112,523
- Price
- $5.19
- Value
- $583,601
- Baig SaqibSale
20 May 2026, Interim CFO, CAO
- Shares
- 5,973
- Price
- $5.19
- Value
- $30,981
- Baig SaqibSale
18 May 2026, Interim CFO, CAO
- Shares
- 29,075
- Price
- $5.27
- Value
- $153,353
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Peloton Interactive
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 55
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Leisure
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- TechnogymTGYM.MI $3.39B73
- OneSpaWorld HoldingsOSW $3.15B65
- YETI HoldingsYETI $3.12B74
- Callaway GolfCALY $3.11B60
- Thule GroupTHULE.ST $2.35B63
- Basic-FitBFIT.AS $2.17B48
- United Parks & ResortsPRKS $1.89B68
- toniesTNIE.DE $1.89B50
ETFs that hold Peloton Interactive
Held by 14 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| HAN-GINS Tech Megatrend Equal Weight UCITS ETF AccT3KE | 0.85% | 0.59% | €96.5M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.13% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.08% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.08% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.06% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.02% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.02% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.02% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 30 Jun 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.