Smurfit Westrock stock
SWNYSESmurfit Westrock plc, Consumer CyclicalISIN IE00028FXN24
53Score 53 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
67 / 100
Price history
+22% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 18 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 0.8% below it.
Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 56).
The price is 17% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 18 years: 79% (June 2008 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$43.28
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$43.51
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)56
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$32.79
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$51.84
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Smurfit Westrock plc belongs to the Packaging & Containers industry (Ireland) and, with a market value of $22.65B, is the largest of 34 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $31.18B (up 53% year on year) and earnings of $699M (up 127%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $32.21B (up 3.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.96 (down 6.6%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 53 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 425 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 49.2 (Packaging & Containers median 19.3, own median of recent years 17).
- Our model puts fair value at $47.30, with the price 7% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 29.6% a year since 2020, Packaging & Containers median 5.8%.Growth 50
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 33.8% a year through 2028 (estimates from 9 analysts).Growth 50
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 184% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 77
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 110% since 2020.Capital allocation 26
- Richly valuedP/E 49.2, Packaging & Containers median 19.3, own median 17.Valuation 52
- Dividend not coveredPayouts over the last 12 months were 200% of earnings and 109% of free cash flow.Capital allocation 26
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and momentum, while capital allocation and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $33.79 and expensive above $78.83 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $77.63 (cash-flow model) and $16.97 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $39.71, at 7.8% it would be $58.78.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.3).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 1.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 7% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 19%, operating 7%, net 2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Feb 2027in 89 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.42 (expected $0.60)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 8.9% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $1.96−8.9%
- Revenue
- $32.21B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $3.26−8.4%
- Revenue
- $34.53B+0.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: 0.0%Smurfit Westrock lowered its 2026 EBITDA outlook to about $4.7 billion, mainly due to energy and freight costs running much higher than previously expected, with about $700 million headwind from energy alone.
“Freight and energy headwinds, and energy costs alone expected to represent approximately $700 million year on year headwind in 2026, materially above our earlier expectations.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Smurfit Westrock
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 53
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Packaging & Containers
The next smaller companies by market value
- Packaging Corporation of AmericaPKG $22.54B70
- AmcorAMCR $20.52B57
- BallBALL $17.13B63
- Avery DennisonAVY $14.21B73
- Crown HoldingsCCK $13.18B72
- CCL IndustriesCCL-B.TO $12.03B74
- Stora EnsoSTERV.HE $8.32B39
- Yunnan Energy New Material002812.SZ $7.22B52
ETFs that hold Smurfit Westrock
Held by 33 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P 500 Materials Sector UCITS ETF2B7B | 2.05% | 0.15% | €180.37M |
| iShares Dow Jones U.S. Select Dividend UCITS ETF (DE)EXX5 | 1.22% | 0.31% | €415.03M |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.41% | 0.20% | €268.74M |
Show 5 more
| First Trust US Large Cap Core AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGU | 0.35% | 0.75% | €140.24M |
| iShares MSCI World Value Factor Advanced UCITS ETFCBUI | 0.25% | 0.25% | €1.53B |
| iShares Edge MSCI USA Value Factor UCITS ETFQDVI | 0.19% | 0.20% | €2.9B |
| iShares MSCI World Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETF USDIS3T | 0.16% | 0.30% | €408.01M |
| iShares Edge MSCI World Value Factor UCITS ETFIS3S | 0.13% | 0.25% | €1.53B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 22 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.