Packaging Corporation of America stock
PKGNYSEConsumer CyclicalISIN US6951561090
70Score 70 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
78 / 100
Price history
+25% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 9.7% above it.
Since September 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 54).
The price is 2.4% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 69% (October 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$239.17
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$230.72
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)54
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$191.68
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$259.17
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Packaging Corporation of America belongs to the Packaging & Containers industry (United States) and, with a market value of $22.54B, is number 2 of 34 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $8.99B (up 7.2% year on year) and earnings of $768.9M (down 4.5%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $10.08B (up 12.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $10.61 (up 7.9%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 70 out of 100 (Strong): rank 164 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 31.2 (Packaging & Containers median 19.3, own median of recent years 17.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $239.21, with the price 6% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 17 years.Capital allocation 70
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 85
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 18.8% a year through 2028 (estimates from 7 analysts).Growth 57
Weaknesses
- Richly valuedP/E 31.2, Packaging & Containers median 19.3, own median 17.4.Valuation 51
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and momentum.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 71 to 70.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 9 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- calm price action
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $170.86 and expensive above $398.68 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $321.45 (cash-flow model) and $156.96 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $210.61, at 7.8% it would be $282.26.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.3).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 12% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 8% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 21%, operating 14%, net 9%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 26 Jan 2027in 75 days
- Last reported
- 21 Oct 2026EPS reported $3.04 (expected $2.93)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $10.61+1.4%
- Revenue
- $10.08B+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $14.46+2.5%
- Revenue
- $11.01B+0.7%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +11.5%No guidance change: 2026 capex stays at $840 million to $870 million, and strong demand and higher prices are expected in the third quarter.
“We continue to forecast $840 million to $870 million of CapEx and excluding special items, around $710 million of DD and A for the year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 23 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $12.21M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Packaging Corporation of America
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 70
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Packaging & Containers
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Smurfit WestrockSW $23.09B53
- AmcorAMCR $20.52B57
- BallBALL $17.13B63
- Avery DennisonAVY $14.21B73
- Crown HoldingsCCK $13.18B72
- CCL IndustriesCCL-B.TO $12.03B74
- Stora EnsoSTERV.HE $8.32B39
- Yunnan Energy New Material002812.SZ $7.22B52
ETFs that hold Packaging Corporation of America
Held by 96 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Materials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDM | 1.95% | 0.15% | €52.49M |
| iShares S&P 500 Materials Sector UCITS ETF2B7B | 1.94% | 0.15% | €180.37M |
| Franklin Global Quality Dividend UCITS ETFFLXX | 0.83% | 0.30% | €127.44M |
Show 5 more
| Xtrackers MSCI World Materials UCITS ETF 1CXDWM | 0.78% | 0.25% | €715.95M |
| iShares Dow Jones U.S. Select Dividend UCITS ETF (DE)EXX5 | 0.76% | 0.31% | €415.03M |
| UBS Factor MSCI USA Low Volatility UCITS ETF hEUR accUBUV | 0.57% | 0.21% | €64.75M |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.41% | 0.20% | €268.74M |
| Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL41 | 0.27% | 0.30% | €51.58M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 27 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.