Ball stock
BALLNYSEBall Corporation, Consumer CyclicalISIN US0584981064
63Score 63 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
76 / 100
Price history
+39% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 7.4% above it.
Since February 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 50).
The price is 3.3% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 56% (November 2020 to October 2023).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$61.58
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$61.30
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)50
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$46.47
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$68.07
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Ball Corporation belongs to the Packaging & Containers industry (United States) and, with a market value of $17.13B, is number 4 of 34 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $13.16B (up 11.6% year on year) and earnings of $912M (down 77.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $15.52B (up 17.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $4.00 (up 11.4%).
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- MEQIRI Score 63 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 274 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $75.19, with the price 12% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 32 years.Capital allocation 66
- Share buybacksShare count down 16% since 2020.Capital allocation 66
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 74
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 1.27 times equity (latest quarter), Packaging & Containers median 0.81.Stability 57
Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while profitability holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 64 to 63.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $57.84 and expensive above $107.41 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $61.95, at 7.8% it would be $95.09.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 19.4% on the twelve months before. Up to 2022 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue grew 5.1% a year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 15%, operating 11%, net 7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 2 Feb 2027in 82 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.10 (expected $1.07)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $4.00−0.6%
- Revenue
- $15.52B+3.3%
- Earnings per share
- $4.47−1.1%
- Revenue
- $16.09B+3.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −2.5%The 2026 volume outlook and comparable EPS growth of over 10% are reaffirmed, with a tax rate slightly above 23%.
“Our 2026 full year effective tax rate on comparable earnings is expected to be slightly above 23%. Full year 2026 interest expense is expected to be in the range of $310 million.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $914,139 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Ball
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 63
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Packaging & Containers
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Smurfit WestrockSW $23.09B53
- Packaging Corporation of AmericaPKG $22.54B70
- AmcorAMCR $20.52B57
- Avery DennisonAVY $14.21B73
- Crown HoldingsCCK $13.18B72
- CCL IndustriesCCL-B.TO $12.03B74
- Stora EnsoSTERV.HE $8.32B39
- Yunnan Energy New Material002812.SZ $7.22B52
ETFs that hold Ball
Held by 49 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P 500 Materials Sector UCITS ETF2B7B | 1.56% | 0.15% | €180.37M |
| First Trust US Large Cap Core AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGU | 0.42% | 0.75% | €140.24M |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.39% | 0.20% | €268.74M |
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| iShares MSCI World Value Factor Advanced UCITS ETFCBUI | 0.17% | 0.25% | €1.53B |
| iShares MSCI World Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETF USDIS3T | 0.16% | 0.30% | €408.01M |
| iShares MSCI USA SRI UCITS ETFQDVR | 0.12% | 0.20% | €2.98B |
| iShares Dow Jones Global Leaders Screened UCITS ETF USD (Acc)IUSL | 0.09% | 0.60% | €2.02B |
| iShares MSCI World SRI UCITS ETF2B7K | 0.08% | 0.20% | €7.26B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 24 Apr 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.