Obsidian Energy stock
OBEAMEXObsidian Energy Ltd., EnergyISIN CA6744822033
45Score 45 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
48 / 100
Price history
+58% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 5.7% below it.
Since July 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 28).
The price is 33% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 100% (June 2007 to April 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$11.20
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$10.31
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)28
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$5.55
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$14.46
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Obsidian Energy Ltd. belongs to the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $649.24M, is number 58 of 69 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- MEQIRI Score 45 out of 100 (Weak): rank 222 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
- The P/E is 32.9 (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 11.1, own median of recent years 5.2).
Show more
- Our model puts fair value at $3.27, with the price 198% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Share buybacksShare count down 5% since 2020.Capital allocation 59
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 198% above the fair value of $3.27.Valuation 48
- Richly valuedP/E 32.9, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 11.1, own median 5.2.Valuation 48
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$107.31M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 25
The score is held back by profitability and fundamentals.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $2.33 and expensive above $5.45 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Valuation metrics
From earnings times the industry P/E (11.1) alone; there are no viable cash flows for the cash-flow model.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2025, revenue fell 22.5% on the prior year. Revenue has declined since 2006 (-7% per year), so it is worth watching closely.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 20%, operating 14%, net 7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is low, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported 0.19 (expected 0.36)below expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- 1.21−20.1%
- Revenue
- $460.92M+2.7%
- Earnings per share
- 2.39+18.3%
- Revenue
- $519.26M−0.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Obsidian Energy
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
266 rated companies in Energy
- This company
- 45
- Sector median
- 60
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Riley Exploration PermianREPX $976.66M64
- Granite Ridge ResourcesGRNT $856.35M65
- TXO PartnersTXO $776.8M41
- Vitesse EnergyVTS $649.67M41
- GeoParkGPRK $603.54M59
- VAALCO EnergyEGY $581.71M53
- Greenfire ResourcesGFR $559.57M52
- W&T OffshoreWTI $514.25M41
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = CA$1.4249)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.