Riley Exploration Permian stock
REPXAMEXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc., EnergyISIN US76665T1025
63Score 63 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
63 / 100
Price history
+70% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 20% above it.
Since February 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 27).
The price is 19% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 99% (July 2008 to March 2017).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$44.79
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$36.89
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)27
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$24.27
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$54.18
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. belongs to the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry (United States) and, with a market value of $976.66M, is number 53 of 69 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $391.98M (down 4.4% year on year) and earnings of $160.84M (up 80.9%).
- MEQIRI Score 63 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 111 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
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- The P/E is 9.3 (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 10.8, own median of recent years 4.9).
- Our model puts fair value at $76.61, with the price 44% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 164.3% a year since 2020, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 20.4%.Growth 54
- Below fair valuePrice 44% below the fair value of $76.61.Valuation 89
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 32% since 2021.Capital allocation 51
- Volatile share priceVolatility 46% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 55
Its standout strengths are valuation and profitability.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
- high price swings
- price up very strongly over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $54.72 and expensive above $127.68 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $101.92 (cash-flow model) and $51.29 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $67.94, at 7.8% it would be $89.61.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (10.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 45.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 22% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 46%, operating 36%, net 41%. Last 12 months: net 17%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Mar 2027in 110 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $2.66 (expected $2.57)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 19.5% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $7.54+17.8%
- Revenue
- $643.18M+6.5%
- Earnings per share
- $10.13+19.5%
- Revenue
- $726.98M+12.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +3.7%2026 oil production guidance raised by 2% to 23,000 barrels per day at the midpoint, about 30% year-over-year growth; capex raised to $236 million.
“Incorporating these updates, we're raising full year oil production volume guidance ranges by 2% to 23,000 barrels per day at the midpoint, corresponding with the over 30% year-on-year growth that Bobby mentioned at the start.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $1.95M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Riley Exploration Permian
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
266 rated companies in Energy
- This company
- 63
- Sector median
- 60
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Dorchester MineralsDMLP $1.38B85
- Kosmos EnergyKOS $1.21B38
- Diversified EnergyDEC $1.06B58
- Tamboran ResourcesTBN $1B35
- HighPeak EnergyHPK $930.69M44
- Granite Ridge ResourcesGRNT $827.32M64
- TXO PartnersTXO $772.92M41
- Vitesse EnergyVTS $641.67M41
ETFs that hold Riley Exploration Permian
Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.08% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.04% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.03% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
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| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.03% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.02% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.02% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.02% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.01% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 28 Feb 2025)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.