Diversified Energy stock
DECNYSEDiversified Energy Company PLC, EnergyISIN US25520W1071
58Score 58 out of 100, Neutral
We are checking this figure against the original source: revenue.
Price and trend
42 / 100
Price history
−6.5% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 8 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 4.8% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 37).
The price is 25% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 8 years: 72% (November 2020 to April 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$14.15
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$14.46
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)37
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$12.44
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$18.30
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Diversified Energy Company PLC belongs to the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.06B, is number 51 of 69 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- MEQIRI Score 58 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 144 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow above 500% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 75
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 31.6% a year since 2020, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 20.4%.Growth 77
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 8.44%, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 3.71%.
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 113% since 2020.Capital allocation 48
- High debtDebt 4.3 times equity (latest quarter), Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 0.43.Stability 25
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.4 times.Stability 25
Its standout strengths are valuation and growth, while momentum and stability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
A fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but high risk.
Valuation metrics
The model puts the fair value at more than four times the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2025, revenue rose 103% on the prior year. Revenue has grown strongly since 2013, at around 61% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 26%, operating 15%, net 21%. Last 12 months: net 4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Feb 2027in 105 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.03 (expected $0.52)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 21.7% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.78+2.7%
- Revenue
- $2.02B+0.4%
- Earnings per share
- $6.12+21.7%
- Revenue
- $2.63B+9.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +2.0%2026 guidance reiterated: adjusted EBITDA of $925 million to $975 million, adjusted free cash flow of about $430 million.
“Adjusted EBITDA guidance remains in a range of $925 million to $975 million with adjusted free cash flow of approximately $430 million.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 7 May 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
- Wade Randall S.Sale
9 Jan 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,100,000
- Price
- $13.28
- Value
- $27.89M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Diversified Energy
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
266 rated companies in Energy
- This company
- 58
- Sector median
- 60
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Mach Natural ResourcesMNR $1.52B54
- BlueNordBNOR.OL $1.46B48
- Dorchester MineralsDMLP $1.38B85
- Kosmos EnergyKOS $1.21B38
- Tamboran ResourcesTBN $1B35
- Riley Exploration PermianREPX $947.46M63
- HighPeak EnergyHPK $930.69M44
- Granite Ridge ResourcesGRNT $827.32M64
ETFs that hold Diversified Energy
Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Oil & Gas Exploration & Production UCITS ETF USD (Acc)IS0D | 0.13% | 0.55% | €373.7M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.06% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.03% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
Show 5 more
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.03% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.03% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.02% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.01% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.00% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 1 May 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.