HighPeak Energy stock
HPKNASDAQHighPeak Energy, Inc., EnergyISIN US43114Q1058
46Score 46 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
60 / 100
Price history
+39% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 8 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 15% above it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 27).
The price is 28% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 8 years: 90% (April 2022 to January 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$8.83
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$7.23
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)27
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$3.89
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$11.57
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- HighPeak Energy, Inc. belongs to the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.05B, is number 52 of 69 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $863.36M (down 19.3% year on year) and earnings of $18.96M (down 80.1%).
- MEQIRI Score 46 out of 100 (Weak): rank 211 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
Show more
- Our model puts fair value at $3.81, with the price 118% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 103.7% a year since 2020, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 21.1%.Growth 70
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 36% since 2020.Capital allocation 19
- Above fair valuePrice 118% above the fair value of $3.81.Valuation 46
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.2 times.Stability 30
Its standout strengths are momentum and growth, while stability and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 44 to 46.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- weak fundamentals
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $2.54 and expensive above $7.63 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $3.18, at 7.8% it would be $4.77.
Valuation metrics
From the dividend model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 3.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2019, at around 118% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 21%, operating 17%, net 2%. Last 12 months: net −14%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Mar 2027in 117 days
- Last reported
- 9 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.32 (expected $0.07)above expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- $0.08+47.1%
- Revenue
- $916.2M+0.7%
- Earnings per share
- $0.18+244.7%
- Revenue
- $798.33M+2.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −9.0%No raise stated: production above the high end of guidance, unit operating costs about 13% below the midpoint, capital spending expected to decline meaningfully in the second half.
“Lease operating expense performance was particularly strong with the first half unit LOE coming in approximately 13% below the midpoint of our full year guidance. it is worth noting that these results include the impact of an expanded workover program that we intentionally pursued during the quarter.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 11 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at HighPeak Energy
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
266 rated companies in Energy
- This company
- 46
- Sector median
- 60
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- BlueNordBNOR.OL $1.47B47
- Dorchester MineralsDMLP $1.4B85
- Kosmos EnergyKOS $1.3B38
- Diversified EnergyDEC $1.06B58
- Tamboran ResourcesTBN $1B34
- Riley Exploration PermianREPX $976.66M64
- Granite Ridge ResourcesGRNT $856.35M65
- TXO PartnersTXO $776.8M41
ETFs that hold HighPeak Energy
Held by 3 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.02% | 0.39% | €1.49B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.00% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 13 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.