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GeoPark stock

GPRKNYSE

GeoPark Limited, EnergyISIN BMG383271050

$9.30▼ $0.02 (−0.2%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

59Score 59 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

46 / 100

Price history

+16% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 19 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 5.6% below it.

Trend change

Since November 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 13).

Distance to the high

The price is 22% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 19 years: 84% (January 2011 to May 2016).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$11.00
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$9.85
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)13
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$7.01
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$11.97
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$604.83M
Div. yield
1.14%
12 months
8.4
Fair value
$15.72

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • GeoPark Limited belongs to the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry (Colombia) and, with a market value of $603.54M, is number 59 of 69 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $492.52M (down 25.5% year on year) and earnings of $49.67M (down 48.5%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $584.37M (up 18.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.97.
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 59 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 137 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
  • The P/E is 8.4 (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 10.8, own median of recent years 7.7).
  • Our model puts fair value at $15.72, with the price 41% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 26.4% in fiscal 2025, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 6.4%.Profitability 82
  • Share buybacksShare count down 15% since 2020.Capital allocation 73

Weaknesses

  • High debtDebt 2.13 times equity (latest quarter), Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 0.43.Stability 27
  • Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$19.34M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 64
  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.9 times.Stability 27
59/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are valuation and profitability, while growth and stability hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency70% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)−27%
ROIC (12 months)27.5%
Positive free cash flow90% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest

Valuation

Valuation signal

Possible value trap
Price
$9.32
Fair value
$15.72
Gap to fair value
−41%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $11.23 and expensive above $26.21 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $19.56 (cash-flow model) and $11.89 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 10%. At 11% the fair value would be $14.34, at 9% it would be $17.65.

Possible value trap: looks cheap, but high risk.

Valuation metrics

0.55
4.2
Fair value (model)
$15.72
Earnings part $11.89 (earnings per share $1.11 × 10.8)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (10.8).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 26% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 48%, operating 31%, net 10%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
2.13
1.9x
0.82
Cash & equivalents
$255.46M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
10 Mar 2027in 118 days
Last reported
3 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.10

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.8% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20263 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.97−11.5%
Revenue
$584.37M−0.5%
Fiscal 20274 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.53+3.8%
Revenue
$779.37M+18.7%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +1.4%

Production within full-year guidance, but second half lifting costs of $17 to $19 per barrel are above the initial $13 to $15 range; EBITDA in excess of $250 million supported by hedges.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“But we do see, Gustavo, that from the initial guidance that was $13-$15/bbl, we are outside of the guidance, and we are moving north. And our guidance has been 13-15.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 5 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $2.35M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Park James FranklinSale

    8 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    100,000
    Price
    $11.92
    Value
    $1.19M
  • Park James FranklinSale

    10 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    120,000
    Price
    $9.65
    Value
    $1.16M

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at GeoPark

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

266 rated companies in Energy

Rank 137 of 266
137/ 266
This company
59
Sector median
60

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 266 companies82 (median 58)24 above the median
GrowthMedian of 266 companies41 (median 65)24 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 266 companies64 (median 62)2 above the median
ValuationMedian of 255 companies with a value96 (median 82)14 above the median
StabilityMedian of 266 companies27 (median 60)33 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 266 companies73 (median 48)25 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 266 companies46 (median 54)8 below the median
MomentumMedian of 266 companies49 (median 56)7 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 69 Oil & Gas Exploration & Production stocks

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 29 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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