VAALCO Energy stock
EGYNYSEVAALCO Energy, Inc., EnergyISIN US91851C2017
53Score 53 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
46 / 100
Price history
+46% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 2.7% below it.
Since January 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 19).
The price is 17% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 93% (April 2012 to August 2017).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$5.98
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$5.68
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)19
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$3.37
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$6.67
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- VAALCO Energy, Inc. belongs to the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry (United States) and, with a market value of $581.71M, is number 60 of 69 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $359.27M (down 25% year on year) and a loss of $41.39M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $463.34M (up 29%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.05.
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 53 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 171 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
- Our model puts fair value at $11.48, with the price 52% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 39.8% a year since 2020, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 21.1%.Growth 83
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 81% since 2020.Capital allocation 36
- Margin fallingOperating margin 13%, average of the prior years 34.9% (to 2024).Profitability 37
- Loss-makingLoss of $149.76M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 55
Its standout strengths are growth and valuation, while capital allocation and stability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 52 to 53.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $8.20 and expensive above $19.13 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $9.57, at 7.8% it would be $14.34.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but high risk.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 3.3% on the twelve months before. Up to 2020 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue grew 39.8% a year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 23%, operating 13%, net −12%. Last 12 months: net −34%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Mar 2027in 118 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported −$0.10 (expected $0.10)below expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- −$0.05−625.0%
- Revenue
- $463.34M+3.7%
- Earnings per share
- $0.37+7.1%
- Revenue
- $528.25M+3.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +12.6%Egyptian production guidance increased on strong drilling results, partly offset by slight decreases in Gabon; overall capex guidance unchanged.
“For the full year production guidance, as George mentioned, we see some production increases in Egypt and Cote d'Ivoire that are offset by some slight decreases in Gabon.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 7 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at VAALCO Energy
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
266 rated companies in Energy
- This company
- 53
- Sector median
- 60
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- TXO PartnersTXO $776.8M41
- Vitesse EnergyVTS $649.67M41
- Obsidian EnergyOBE $649.24M45
- GeoParkGPRK $603.54M59
- Greenfire ResourcesGFR $559.57M52
- W&T OffshoreWTI $514.25M41
- OKEA AsaOKEA.OL $499.25M57
- SandRidge EnergySD $488.33M64
ETFs that hold VAALCO Energy
Held by 6 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.06% | 0.39% | €1.49B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.02% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.02% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
Show 2 more
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.01% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.00% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 6 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.