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Morgan Stanley stock

MSNYSE

Financial ServicesISIN US6174464486

$189.17▼ $1.44 (−0.8%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

73Score 73 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

53 / 100

Price history

+11% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 2.7% below it.

Trend change

Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 60).

Distance to the high

The price is 17% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 88% (June 2007 to November 2008).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$193.25
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$194.48
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)60
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$154.37
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$228.55
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$300.6B
Div. yield
2.26%
12 months
15.0
13.9
on earnings for the next twelve months ($13.67 per share)
Fair value
$163.27

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Morgan Stanley belongs to the Financial (Capital Markets) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $298.37B, is the largest of 81 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $65.97B (up 14.5% year on year) and earnings of $16.86B (up 25.9%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $82.4B (up 24.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $12.90 (up 26.3%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 73 out of 100 (Strong): rank 302 of 976 in Financial Services, median 68.
  • The P/E is 14.9 (Financial (Capital Markets) median 13.7, own median of recent years 13.9).
  • Our model puts fair value at $163.27, with the price 17% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • High return on equityReturn on equity 17.9% over the last 12 months.Profitability 74
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 17 years.Capital allocation 90
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 92

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

73/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 72 to 73.

The fundamentals are strong overall.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings)not used for financials
ROE (12 months)17.9%
Positive free cash flownot used for financials
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among the 100 largest stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 7 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 9 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals
  • very large company

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$190.58
Fair value
$163.27
Gap to fair value
+17%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $125.59 and expensive above $233.24 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $152.64 (excess return model) and $173.89 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is slightly above both parts; given how much the stock swings, that still counts as fair.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 11.2%. At 12.2% the fair value would be $154.14, at 10.2% it would be $175.26.

Valuation metrics

2.53
17.9%
last 12 months, profit over average equity
Fair value (model)
$163.27
Earnings part $173.89 (earnings per share $12.67 × 13.7)

Half from the excess return model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (13.7).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 23% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 5% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: operating 33%, net 26%. Banks and insurers have no gross margin, and their net margin is not comparable with other industries. The score leaves both out.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
4.48
Equity
$117.11B
1.16
Cash & equivalents
$1.01T

For banks and insurers, deposits and liabilities are the business. Debt to equity and the current ratio say little here, and the score does not rate them.

Earnings

Next earnings
14 Jan 2027in 63 days
Last reported
14 Oct 2026EPS reported $3.03 (expected $2.93)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202618 analysts
Earnings per share
$12.90+0.9%
Revenue
$82.4B+0.5%
Fiscal 202717 analysts
Earnings per share
$13.79+0.6%
Revenue
$86.94B+0.2%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: −2.4%

Full year guidance remains unchanged and a modest increase is expected in the fourth quarter.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“For the fourth quarter, we expect our tax rate to be slightly above the third quarter's tax rate, and our full year guidance remains unchanged.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 14 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $9.34M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Miscik Judith ASale

    6 Nov 2026, Board

    Shares
    2,480
    Price
    $183.21
    Value
    $454,348
  • Schapiro Mary LSale

    28 Jul 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,000
    Price
    $212.06
    Value
    $212,055
  • Pizzi Michael A.Sale

    17 Jul 2026, Head Technology & Operations

    Shares
    24,165
    Price
    $215.55
    Value
    $5.21M
Show 1 more
  • Yeshaya SharonSale

    16 Jul 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    15,554
    Price
    $222.51
    Value
    $3.46M

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Morgan Stanley

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

976 rated companies in Financial Services

Rank 302 of 976
302/ 976
This company
73
Sector median
68

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 976 companies74 (median 57)17 above the median
GrowthMedian of 976 companies72 (median 67)5 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 976 companies92 (median 80)12 above the median
ValuationMedian of 929 companies with a value58 (median 73)15 below the median
StabilityMedian of 976 companies66 (median 78)12 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 976 companies90 (median 56)34 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 976 companies53 (median 70)17 below the median
MomentumMedian of 976 companies62 (median 70)8 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Financial (Capital Markets)

The next smaller companies by market value

All 81 Financial (Capital Markets) stocks

ETFs that hold Morgan Stanley

Held by 107 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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