Nomura Holdings stock
NMRNYSENomura Holdings, Inc., Financial ServicesISIN US65535H2085
69Score 69 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
69 / 100
Price history
+35% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 7.4% above it.
Since June 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 65).
The price is 11% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 88% (February 2007 to November 2011).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$9.77
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$9.02
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)65
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$6.94
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$10.86
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Nomura Holdings, Inc. belongs to the Financial (Capital Markets) industry (Japan) and, with a market value of $28.24B, is number 8 of 81 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- This is an American depositary receipt (ADR).
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $13.61B (up 30.4% year on year) and earnings of $2.27B (up 6.3%).
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- MEQIRI Score 69 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 463 of 976 in Financial Services, median 68.
- The P/E is 11.2 (Financial (Capital Markets) median 13.7, own median of recent years 10.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $7.78, with the price 25% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 19.7% a year since 2021.Growth 87
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 3.32%, Financial (Capital Markets) median 2.13%.Capital allocation 78
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are growth and momentum.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are strong overall.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $5.56 and expensive above $12.97 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $3.63 (excess return model) and $11.93 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.5%. At 10.5% the fair value would be $7.59, at 8.5% it would be $8.02.
Valuation metrics
Half from the excess return model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (13.7).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 38.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2010, at about 4% per year. From 2010 revenue is reported differently (for example gross instead of net), so earlier years are not comparable and not shown.
Margins
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: operating 25%, net 17%. Banks and insurers have no gross margin, and their net margin is not comparable with other industries. The score leaves both out. From 2010 revenue is reported differently (for example gross instead of net), so earlier years are not comparable and not shown.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterFor banks and insurers, deposits and liabilities are the business. Debt to equity and the current ratio say little here, and the score does not rate them.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 29 Jan 2027in 78 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- 160.36−0.4%
- Revenue
- $15.58B+0.9%
- Earnings per share
- 159.63+0.2%
- Revenue
- $15.56B−0.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +4.0%Nomura points to ongoing uncertainty from rising rates and geopolitical risk but gives no concrete raise or cut to guidance, confirming the 10 to 12% ROE target toward 2030.
“Although performance moderated from the first quarter, we achieved our quantitative target for ROE of 10%-12% or higher toward 2030, which we raised in May 2026.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q2 2027), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
- Ishizuka MasahiroPlan purchase
25 Mar 2026, Board
- Shares
- 238.19
- Price
- $8.05
- Value
- $1,917
- Ogawa ShojiPlan purchase
25 Mar 2026, Board
- Shares
- 238.19
- Price
- $8.05
- Value
- $1,917
- Ozaki YukikoPlan purchase
25 Mar 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 7.94
- Price
- $8.05
- Value
- $64
Shares and prices per ordinary share as filed with the SEC, not per depositary receipt.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Nomura Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
976 rated companies in Financial Services
- This company
- 69
- Sector median
- 68
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Financial (Capital Markets)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Robinhood MarketsHOOD $75.95B63
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- East Money Information300059.SZ $44.02B68
- Guotai Junan Securities601211.SS $42.27B59
- Tradeweb MarketsTW $28.21B76
- CSC Financial601066.SS $25.45B61
- LPL Financial HoldingsLPLA $23.49B80
- Huatai Securities601688.SS $23.37B60
ETFs that hold Nomura Holdings
Held by 92 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares MSCI Japan CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccCEB3 | 1.38% | 0.18% | €114.27M |
| Amundi MSCI Japan ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF EUR AccJ1GR | 0.94% | 0.15% | €1.31B |
| WisdomTree Japan Equity UCITS ETF USD HedgedWTDX | 0.76% | 0.48% | €796.64M |
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| iShares MSCI Japan Screened UCITS ETFSODJ | 0.61% | 0.15% | €445.76M |
| Amundi MSCI Pacific ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DistX014 | 0.59% | 0.45% | €175.23M |
| Deka MSCI Japan Climate Change ESG UCITS ETFEL45 | 0.58% | 0.26% | €162.3M |
| iShares MSCI Japan UCITS ETFSXR5 | 0.58% | 0.12% | €1.54B |
| Amundi Prime Japan UCITS ETF DR (D)PR1J | 0.51% | 0.05% | €4.21B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = ¥159.23)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.