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Modivo stock

MDV.WAWSE

Modivo S.A., Consumer CyclicalISIN PLCCC0000016

$28.67▲ $0.27 (+0.9%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

46Score 46 out of 100, Weak

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Price and trend

76 / 100

Price history

−16% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 22% above it.

Trend change

Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 74).

Distance to the high

The price is 20% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 92% (January 2018 to March 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$23.62
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$23.59
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)74
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$18.49
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$35.88
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$2.19B
Div. yield
no dividend
Loss
includes one-off items
24.1
on earnings for the next twelve months ($1.18 per share)
Fair value
$31.27

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Modivo S.A. belongs to the Apparel (Retail) industry (Poland) and, with a market value of $2.21B, is number 16 of 26 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.75B (up 5.8% year on year) and earnings of $5.51M (down 97.7%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $3B (up 9.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.76.
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  • MEQIRI Score 46 out of 100 (Weak): rank 505 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • Our model puts fair value at $31.27, with the price 9% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 15.9% a year since 2020, Apparel (Retail) median 7.9%.Growth 64

Weaknesses

  • DilutionShare count up 51% since 2020.Capital allocation 23
  • High debtDebt 2.65 times equity (latest quarter), Apparel (Retail) median 0.86.Stability 26
  • Loss-makingLoss of $92.02M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 35
46/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strength is technical analysis, while profitability and capital allocation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency50% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)2.9%
Positive free cash flow70% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$28.40
Fair value
$31.27
Gap to fair value
−9%

Closing price of 10 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $22.34 and expensive above $52.12 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.8%. At 13.8% the fair value would be $27.20, at 11.8% it would be $36.67.

Valuation metrics

no data
11.5
Fair value (model)
$31.27

From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 31 Jul 2026, revenue rose 4.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 19% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 41%, operating 5%, net 0%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
2.65
1.8x
0.82
Cash & equivalents
$117.97M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
27 Nov 2026in 15 days
Last reported
10 Aug 2026EPS reported $0.11

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 12.7% since 24 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 20279 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.76−12.7%
Revenue
$3B−0.2%
Fiscal 202810 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.30−8.0%
Revenue
$3.37B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 24 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at Modivo

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 505 of 602
505/ 602
This company
46
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 602 companies25 (median 53)28 below the median
GrowthMedian of 602 companies64 (median 60)4 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 602 companies35 (median 73)38 below the median
ValuationMedian of 580 companies with a value66 (median 72)6 below the median
StabilityMedian of 602 companies26 (median 62)36 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 602 companies23 (median 58)35 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 602 companies76 (median 63)13 above the median
MomentumMedian of 602 companies62 (median 62)0 at the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Apparel (Retail)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 26 Apparel (Retail) stocks

ETFs that hold Modivo

Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
iShares MSCI EM Small Cap UCITS ETFEUNI0.09%0.74%€274.03M
iShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS ETFIS3N0.01%0.18%€37.17B
iShares Growth Portfolio UCITS ETFMAGR0.01%0.25%€110.11M
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Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Jan 2026
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = PLN 3.9578)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 5 Jun 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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