Boot Barn Holdings stock
BOOTNYSEBoot Barn Holdings, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US0994061002
64Score 64 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
56 / 100
Price history
−25% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 12 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 14% below it.
Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 64).
The price is 36% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 12 years: 84% (July 2015 to February 2016).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$127.54
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$155.87
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)64
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$111.69
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$207.98
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. belongs to the Apparel (Retail) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $4B, is number 13 of 26 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $2.25B (up 17.9% year on year) and earnings of $225.88M (up 24.8%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.58B (up 14.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $8.93 (up 21.5%).
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- MEQIRI Score 64 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 260 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 16.1 (Apparel (Retail) median 14.4, own median of recent years 17.9).
- Our model puts fair value at $116.39, with the price 16% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 29.3% a year since 2021.Growth 82
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 20.3% a year since 2021, Apparel (Retail) median 7.9%.Growth 82
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2017 to 2026.Fundamentals 67
Weaknesses
- Volatile share priceVolatility 50% a year over the last 12 months.
Its standout strengths are growth and stability, while capital allocation and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $83.14 and expensive above $193.98 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $113.14 (cash-flow model) and $119.64 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is slightly above both parts; given how much the stock swings, that still counts as fair.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $105.93, at 7.8% it would be $132.18.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.4).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 26 Sep 2026, revenue rose 16.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2013, at around 19% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 38%, operating 13%, net 10%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Feb 2027in 83 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.68 (expected $1.64)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $8.93−2.4%
- Revenue
- $2.58B−1.0%
- Earnings per share
- $9.82−2.2%
- Revenue
- $2.91B−1.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +16.8%Boot Barn raised its outlook: new stores for fiscal 2027 now 75 to 80 versus 70 before, merchandise margin expansion of about 70 basis points versus less before, full year sales at the high end of $2.6 billion with 15% growth, and diluted EPS expected to grow 22% to $9.
“We expect to continue to open 12% to 15% new units on the heels of 5 consecutive years of opening around 15% new units Merchandise margin, while we have to keep an eye on freight rates, we are confident in our merchandise margin drivers heading into the next few years as we As a reminder, when modeling next year, we …”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q2 2027), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $36,871 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Kosoff Jonathon DavidSale
26 May 2026, CHIEF DIGITAL OFFICER
- Shares
- 230
- Price
- $160.31
- Value
- $36,871
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Boot Barn Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 64
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Apparel (Retail)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Victoria's SecretVSXY $8.76B68
- GapGAP $7.56B64
- Urban OutfittersURBN $7.37B80
- Abercrombie & FitchANF $6.45B77
- American Eagle OutfittersAEO $3.61B67
- BuckleBKE $2.27B71
- ModivoMDV.WA $2.19B46
- Carter'sCRI $1.27B66
ETFs that hold Boot Barn Holdings
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.25% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.20% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.14% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
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| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.14% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.08% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.04% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.04% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.03% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 28 Mar 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 27 Feb 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.