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Gap stock

GAPNYSE

The Gap, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US3647601083

$21.25▼ $0.28 (−1.3%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

64Score 64 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

41 / 100

Price history

−15% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 7.2% below it.

Trend change

Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 44).

Distance to the high

The price is 27% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 88% (September 2014 to April 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$22.26
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$22.91
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)44
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$18.35
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$29.13
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$7.56B
Div. yield
3.2%
12 months
6.4
includes one-off items, adjusted 10.8
8.4
on earnings for the next twelve months ($2.58 per share)
Fair value
$42.57

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • The Gap, Inc. belongs to the Apparel (Retail) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $7.46B, is number 10 of 26 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $15.37B (up 1.9% year on year) and earnings of $816M (down 3.3%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $15.54B (up 1.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.40 (up 11.7%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 64 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 262 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • Our model puts fair value at $42.57, with the price 49% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Below fair valuePrice 49% below the fair value of $42.57.Valuation 99

Weaknesses

  • High debtDebt 1.45 times equity (latest quarter), Apparel (Retail) median 0.86.Stability 65
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 47% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 65
64/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are valuation and capital allocation, while momentum and technical analysis hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 65 to 64.

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency80% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)89%
ROIC (12 months)18.4%
Positive free cash flow80% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$21.53
Fair value
$42.57
Gap to fair value
−49%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $30.41 and expensive above $70.95 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.2%. At 11.2% the fair value would be $36.92, at 9.2% it would be $50.32.

Valuation metrics

0.62
6.3
Fair value (model)
$42.57

From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 1 Aug 2026, revenue rose 1.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 41%, operating 7%, net 5%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.45
50.2x
1.82
Cash & equivalents
$2.49B

Meaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
19 Nov 2026in 7 days
Last reported
27 Aug 2026EPS reported $0.52 (expected $0.48)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202715 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.40−0.3%
Revenue
$15.54B0.0%
Fiscal 202815 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.63−0.6%
Revenue
$16.02B+0.1%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +11.0%

Adjusted operating margin and EPS outlook raised, while the revenue outlook was narrowed to net sales growth of 1% to 1.5%.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“As we factor in our second quarter performance, we are narrowing our full year revenue outlook, with net sales growth now expected in the range of 1% to 1.5%. At the same time, we are raising our outlook for adjusted operating margin and earnings per share, the details of which I will share shortly.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 27 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $24.25M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Fisher William SydneySale

    6 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    500,000
    Price
    $23.89
    Value
    $11.95M
  • Gruber JulieSale

    6 Oct 2026, Chief Legal&Compliance Officer

    Shares
    27,538
    Price
    $23.56
    Value
    $648,680
  • Fisher William SydneySale

    5 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    433,656
    Price
    $23.35
    Value
    $10.13M
Show 1 more
  • Fisher William SydneySale

    30 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    66,344
    Price
    $23.06
    Value
    $1.53M

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Gap

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 262 of 602
262/ 602
This company
64
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 602 companies73 (median 53)20 above the median
GrowthMedian of 602 companies45 (median 60)15 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 602 companies74 (median 73)1 above the median
ValuationMedian of 580 companies with a value99 (median 72)27 above the median
StabilityMedian of 602 companies65 (median 62)3 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 602 companies84 (median 58)26 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 602 companies41 (median 63)22 below the median
MomentumMedian of 602 companies44 (median 62)18 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Apparel (Retail)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 26 Apparel (Retail) stocks

ETFs that hold Gap

Held by 6 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 3 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Jan 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 24 Apr 2026)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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