Burlington Stores stock
BURLNYSEBurlington Stores, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US1220171060
63Score 63 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
56 / 100
Price history
−12% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 13 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 18% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 53).
The price is 32% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 13 years: 69% (August 2021 to September 2022).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$254.12
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$305.30
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)53
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$227.28
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$372.19
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Burlington Stores, Inc. belongs to the Apparel (Retail) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $15.82B, is number 6 of 26 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $11.57B (up 8.8% year on year) and earnings of $610.15M (up 21.1%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $12.74B (up 10.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $11.90 (up 20.4%).
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- MEQIRI Score 63 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 275 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 22.5 (Apparel (Retail) median 14.4, own median of recent years 31.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $369.18, with the price 31% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 31% below the fair value of $369.18.Valuation 69
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 14.9% a year since 2020, Apparel (Retail) median 7.9%.Growth 64
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 142% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 79
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 2.95 times equity (latest quarter), Apparel (Retail) median 0.86.Stability 49
Its standout strength is fundamentals, while stability and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 61 to 63.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $263.70 and expensive above $615.29 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $577.51 (cash-flow model) and $160.84 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.1%. At 10.1% the fair value would be $316.65, at 8.1% it would be $446.76.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.4).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 1 Aug 2026, revenue rose 10.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2010, at about 8% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 44%, operating 7%, net 5%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterMeaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Nov 2026in 12 days
- Last reported
- 27 Aug 2026EPS reported $2.96 (expected $2.19)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $11.900.0%
- Revenue
- $12.74B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $13.51−0.2%
- Revenue
- $13.9B−0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −13.1%Earnings outlook raised: adjusted EPS of $11.77 to $11.97, total sales up 10% to 11% and comparable sales up 3% to 4%.
“Consistent with our prior fall guidance, we are guiding Q3 comp sales to be up 1% to 3% and total sales to increase 9% to 11%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 27 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $14.36M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Vecchio JenniferSale
2 Nov 2026, Group President and CMO
- Shares
- 1,678
- Price
- $237.12
- Value
- $397,882
- Vecchio JenniferSale
1 Oct 2026, Group President and CMO
- Shares
- 1,678
- Price
- $271.53
- Value
- $455,633
- Vecchio JenniferSale
1 Sept 2026, Group President and CMO
- Shares
- 1,678
- Price
- $259.73
- Value
- $435,829
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- Vecchio JenniferSale
3 Aug 2026, Group President and CMO
- Shares
- 1,678
- Price
- $369.04
- Value
- $619,251
- Vecchio JenniferSale
1 Jul 2026, Group President and CMO
- Shares
- 1,678
- Price
- $315.42
- Value
- $529,282
- Wolfe KristinSale
17 Jun 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 8,200
- Price
- $340.19
- Value
- $2.79M
- Vecchio JenniferSale
12 Jun 2026, Group President and CMO
- Shares
- 20,920
- Price
- $341.53
- Value
- $7.14M
- Ferroni StephenSale
11 Jun 2026, SVP, Chief Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 2,343
- Price
- $337.22
- Value
- $790,111
- Pasch MatthewSale
5 Jun 2026, Chief Human Resources Officer
- Shares
- 3,773
- Price
- $317.21
- Value
- $1.2M
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Burlington Stores
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 63
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Apparel (Retail)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Fast Retailing9983.T $155.09B79
- TJX CompaniesTJX $150.08B72
- Ross StoresROST $77.39B82
- TrentTRENT.NS $18.34B68
- Lululemon AthleticaLULU $12.45B79
- AritziaATZ.TO $12.43B79
- Victoria's SecretVSXY $8.76B68
- GapGAP $7.56B64
ETFs that hold Burlington Stores
Held by 87 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.47% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1DXUCD | 0.33% | 0.12% | €150.96M |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.29% | 0.20% | €268.74M |
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| JPM Global Equity Premium Income Active UCITS ETF USD (dist)JGPI | 0.23% | 0.35% | €1.55B |
| Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL41 | 0.22% | 0.30% | €51.58M |
| JPMorgan US Research Enhanced Index Equity Active UCITS ETFJUHE | 0.20% | 0.20% | €14.56B |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1CXDWC | 0.20% | 0.25% | €388.27M |
| iShares MSCI World Consumer Discretionary Sector Advanced UCITS ETF36BB | 0.18% | 0.18% | €33.17M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Jan 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Nov 2023)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.