Carter's stock
CRINYSECarter's Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US1462291097
65Score 65 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
62 / 100
Price history
+2.0% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 6.2% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 54).
The price is 24% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 81% (February 2018 to August 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$31.91
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$36.13
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)54
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$28.54
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$44.37
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Carter's Inc. belongs to the Apparel (Retail) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.24B, is number 17 of 26 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.9B (up 1.9% year on year) and earnings of $91.8M (down 50.5%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.92B (up 0.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.19 (down 8.1%).
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- MEQIRI Score 65 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 244 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $19.39, with the price 75% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Share buybacksShare count down 18% since 2020.Capital allocation 80
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 93
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 145% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 93
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 75% above the fair value of $19.39.Valuation 47
- Margin fallingOperating margin 5%, average of the prior years 11% (to 2024).
- Volatile share priceVolatility 49% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 56
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation, while valuation and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 66 to 65.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $13.85 and expensive above $32.31 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 11%. At 12% the fair value would be $17.09, at 10% it would be $22.42.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 3 Oct 2026, revenue rose 5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 45%, operating 5%, net 3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 26 Feb 2027in 105 days
- Last reported
- 30 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.03 (expected $0.85)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2028 earnings estimate by 5.7% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $3.19−1.3%
- Revenue
- $2.92B−1.6%
- Earnings per share
- $3.35−5.7%
- Revenue
- $2.94B−2.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: +5.6%Net sales outlook narrowed to 2% to 3% growth (previously low to mid-single digits), operating income growth guidance reiterated and operating cash flow raised to $230 million to $240 million.
“Turning to our outlook for the top line, we've narrowed our outlook for full year net sales a bit from low to mid-single-digit growth previously to a revised projection of 2% to 3% growth.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 31 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Carter's
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 65
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Apparel (Retail)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Boot Barn HoldingsBOOT $4B64
- American Eagle OutfittersAEO $3.63B67
- BuckleBKE $2.26B71
- ModivoMDV.WA $2.2B47
- BooztBOOZT-DKK.CO $993.27M68
- RVRC HoldingRVRC.ST $571.6M77
- CaleresCAL $455.47M55
- Lindex GroupLINDEX.HE $451.03M52
ETFs that hold Carter's
Held by 15 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.11% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.08% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.08% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
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| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.07% | 0.30% | €2.31B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.06% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.04% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.04% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.04% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 3 Jan 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 14 Aug 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.