Finnair stock
FIA1S.HEHELFinnair Oyj, IndustrialsISIN FI4000567029
63Score 63 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
77 / 100
Price history
+110% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 39% above it.
Since January 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 89).
The price is at its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 95% (February 2007 to December 2024).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$5.01
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$4.54
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)89
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$2.87
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$6.34
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Finnair Oyj belongs to the Airlines and Airports industry (Finland) and, with a market value of $1.29B, is number 46 of 51 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.44B (up 1.9% year on year) and earnings of $20.39M (down 50.3%).
- MEQIRI Score 63 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 449 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
Show more
- The P/E is 8.7 (Airlines and Airports median 16.1, own median of recent years 10.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $15.45, with the price 59% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 353% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 63
- Modestly valuedP/E 8.7, Airlines and Airports median 16.1, own median 10.4.Valuation 99
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 226% since 2020.Capital allocation 34
- Volatile share priceVolatility 50% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 36
Its standout strengths are valuation and momentum, while stability and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price up very strongly over the past year
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
- stable momentum
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $11.04 and expensive above $25.76 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $19.21 (cash-flow model) and $11.70 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.5%. At 11.5% the fair value would be $14.27, at 9.5% it would be $16.98.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but high risk.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (16.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 9.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has changed sharply in recent years: $3.44B in 2025 after $2.61B in 2022.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 6%, operating −1%, net 1%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Feb 2027in 96 days
- Last reported
- 27 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.31 (expected $0.31)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 23.4% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $0.59+7.0%
- Revenue
- $3.92B+0.4%
- Earnings per share
- $0.26−23.4%
- Revenue
- $4.11B+0.7%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −2.9%Finnair confirms the guidance raised two weeks ago without changes: revenue of 3.5 to 3.6 billion euros and operating result of 175 to 220 million euros, capacity up 1%.
“Revenue is estimated to be from EUR 3.5 billion to EUR 3.6 billion, whereas the comparable operating result range is EUR 175 million-EUR 220 million. You are guiding for 1% capacity increase for the full-year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 27 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Finnair
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 63
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Airlines and Airports
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V.AERO $2.44B63
- Frontier Group HoldingsULCC $1.77B44
- Norwegian Air ShuttleNAS.OL $1.48B54
- JetBlue AirwaysJBLU $1.44B33
- Aegean AirlinesAEGN.AT $1.14B58
- AzulAZUL $959.05M51
- Republic Airways HoldingsRJET $950.43M55
- Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V.VLRS $933.41M48
ETFs that hold Finnair
Held by 14 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETFWTES | 0.19% | 0.38% | €86.74M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF EUR AccZPRX | 0.09% | 0.30% | €813.64M |
| iShares MSCI EMU Small Cap UCITS ETFSXRJ | 0.07% | 0.58% | €838.19M |
Show 5 more
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.03% | 0.39% | €1.49B |
| Amundi MSCI EMU Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DISTLGWU | 0.03% | 0.40% | €580.62M |
| Xtrackers MSCI Europe Small Cap UCITS ETF 1CXXSC | 0.03% | 0.30% | €3.45B |
| Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DistX026 | 0.02% | 0.23% | €321.86M |
| UBS MSCI EMU Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF EUR accUIQN | 0.01% | 0.34% | €16.96M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Jul 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.