Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. stock
VLRSNYSEIndustrialsISIN US21240E1055
48Score 48 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
61 / 100
Price history
+19% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 13 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 6.4% above it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 81).
The price is 24% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 13 years: 86% (April 2016 to April 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$6.60
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$7.63
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)81
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$5.62
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$10.63
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. belongs to the Airlines and Airports industry (Mexico) and, with a market value of $933.41M, is number 50 of 51 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- This is an American depositary receipt (ADR).
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.04B (down 3.3% year on year) and a loss of $103.87M.
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 48 out of 100 (Weak): rank 835 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $12.17, with the price 33% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 123.8% a year since 2020, Airlines and Airports median 25.8%.Growth 83
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 90.33 times equity (latest quarter), Airlines and Airports median 1.51.Stability 14
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.6 times.Stability 14
- Loss-makingLoss of $219.87M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 35
Its standout strengths are valuation and growth, while stability and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 49 to 48.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $8.69 and expensive above $20.28 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 17.2%. At 18.2% the fair value would be $11.89, at 16.2% it would be $12.47.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 18.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2010, at around 33% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 6%, operating 3%, net −3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 23 Feb 2027in 102 days
- Last reported
- 26 Oct 2026above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 37.3% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- −2+1.0%
- Revenue
- $3.7B+2.2%
- Earnings per share
- −0.42−37.3%
- Revenue
- $4B+1.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +8.5%Volaris beat its own third-quarter guidance, reaching an EBITDA margin of 25.3% versus a planned 22%; for the fourth quarter Volaris now expects TRASM of around 10.99¢ and an EBITDA margin of about 20%.
“We achieved an EBITDA margin of 25.3% above our 22% guidance even though jet fuel average $3.67 per gallon versus our $3.50 guidance assumption.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 27 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $760,500 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Shares and prices per ordinary share as filed with the SEC, not per depositary receipt.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V.
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 48
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Airlines and Airports
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Frontier Group HoldingsULCC $1.77B44
- Norwegian Air ShuttleNAS.OL $1.48B54
- JetBlue AirwaysJBLU $1.44B33
- FinnairFIA1S.HE $1.29B63
- Aegean AirlinesAEGN.AT $1.14B58
- AzulAZUL $959.05M51
- Republic Airways HoldingsRJET $950.43M55
- Toscana AeroportiTYA.MI $367.11M59
ETFs that hold Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V.
Held by 1 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Emerging Markets Equity UCITS ETF USD AccAVEM | 0.02% | 0.35% | €284.54M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 17 Jul 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.