Elior Group stock
ELIOR.PAPARElior Group S.A., Consumer CyclicalISIN FR0011950732
42Score 42 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
49 / 100
Price history
−31% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 12 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 13% below it.
Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 79).
The price is 35% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 12 years: 94% (June 2017 to October 2023).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$2.06
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$2.45
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)79
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$1.94
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$3.31
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Elior Group S.A. belongs to the Restaurants industry (France) and, with a market value of $541.61M, is number 35 of 41 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $6.83B (up 0.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.17 (down 35.9%).
- MEQIRI Score 42 out of 100 (Weak): rank 527 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
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- The P/E is 7.7 (Restaurants median 25, own median of recent years 28.7).
- Our model puts fair value at $5.33, with the price 60% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Modestly valuedP/E 7.7, Restaurants median 25, own median 28.7.Valuation 100
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 33.6% a year through 2028 (estimates from 5 analysts).Growth 55
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 46% since 2020.Capital allocation 31
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.5 times.Stability 32
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$5.54M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 33
Its standout strength is valuation, while momentum and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- price far below its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $3.81 and expensive above $8.88 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $3.70 (cash-flow model) and $6.96 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 11.7%. At 12.7% the fair value would be $5.19, at 10.7% it would be $5.51.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk, weak balance sheet.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026, revenue fell 0.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2011.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 14%, operating 3%, net 1%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 19 Nov 2026in 6 days
- Last reported
- 20 May 2026EPS reported $0.13 (expected $0.25)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2028 earnings estimate by 4.5% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $0.29−0.7%
- Revenue
- $7.02B−0.3%
- Earnings per share
- $0.35−4.5%
- Revenue
- $7.21B−0.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −29.8%Guidance lowered: fiscal 2025-2026 organic revenue growth now 1% to 2% and adjusted EBITDA margin around 3%, with the second half weaker than initially expected.
“Consequently, for fiscal year 2025-2026, we now expect organic revenue growth between 1% and 2%. Adjusted EBITDA margin, excluding the exceptional item in Italy to be around 3% for the fiscal year, leverage ratio to be around 3.5x at September 2026, still comfortably below the 4.5x covenant.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 21 May 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Elior Group
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 42
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Restaurants
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- First Watch Restaurant GroupFWRG $798.74M41
- Cannae HoldingsCNNE $738.66M41
- Papa John's InternationalPZZA $631.19M44
- SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGHDL $628.96M48
- AmRest HoldingsEAT.MC $520.58M45
- Portillo'sPTLO $484.42M49
- Ibersol, S.G.P.S.IBS.LS $466.64M57
- El Pollo Loco HoldingsLOCO $447.23M58
ETFs that hold Elior Group
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETFWTES | 0.06% | 0.38% | €86.74M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF EUR AccZPRX | 0.05% | 0.30% | €813.64M |
| UBS MSCI EMU Small Cap UCITS ETF EUR disUEFD | 0.04% | 0.28% | €630.46M |
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| Amundi MSCI EMU Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DISTLGWU | 0.03% | 0.40% | €580.62M |
| Xtrackers MSCI Europe Small Cap UCITS ETF 1CXXSC | 0.02% | 0.30% | €3.45B |
| Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DistX026 | 0.01% | 0.23% | €321.86M |
| UBS MSCI EMU Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF EUR accUIQN | 0.01% | 0.34% | €16.96M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.00% | 0.35% | €8.27B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 30 Sep 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 22 May 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.