Krispy Kreme stock
DNUTNASDAQKrispy Kreme, Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US50101L1061
35Score 35 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
72 / 100
Price history
−8.1% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 5 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 10% above it.
Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 65).
The price is 21% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 5 years: 88% (July 2021 to June 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$3.18
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$3.36
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)65
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$2.82
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$4.70
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Krispy Kreme, Inc. belongs to the Grocery Stores industry (United States) and, with a market value of $642.82M, is number 24 of 27 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.52B (down 8.6% year on year) and a loss of $515.77M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.38B (down 9.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.01.
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 35 out of 100 (Weak): rank 290 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- Our model puts fair value at $1.45, with the price 163% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 163% above the fair value of $1.45.Valuation 27
- Loss-makingLoss of $89.64M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 23
- High debtDebt 2.1 times equity (fiscal 2025), Grocery Stores median 1.36.Stability 15
Its standout strength is technical analysis, while stability and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 36 to 35.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $0.97 and expensive above $2.90 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $1.21, at 7.8% it would be $1.81.
Valuation metrics
From the dividend model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 27 Sep 2026, revenue fell 7.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2011, at about 12% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 76%, operating −31%, net −34%. Last 12 months: net −6%.
Debt & balance sheet
Fiscal 2025Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Feb 2027in 105 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.06 (expected $0.01)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 28.5% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- −$0.01+28.5%
- Revenue
- $1.38B+3.3%
- Earnings per share
- $0.08−2.5%
- Revenue
- $1.4B+4.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +7.7%2026 guidance maintained unchanged; higher growth and margins expected in the seasonally stronger fourth quarter.
“The fourth quarter is typically stronger due to seasonality, and thus we expect to see higher growth and margins in the fourth quarter than in the third quarter.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $2.97M in total.
- Hees BernardoPurchase
5 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 25,002
- Price
- $3.49
- Value
- $87,167
- Hees BernardoPurchase
4 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 150,000
- Price
- $3.29
- Value
- $493,440
- Hees BernardoPurchase
3 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 170,596
- Price
- $3.35
- Value
- $570,644
Show 5 more
- Hees BernardoPurchase
2 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 235,875
- Price
- $3.39
- Value
- $799,616
- Hees BernardoPurchase
1 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 73,640
- Price
- $3.44
- Value
- $253,027
- Hees BernardoPurchase
28 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 200,989
- Price
- $3.42
- Value
- $687,503
- Hees BernardoPurchase
27 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 22,114
- Price
- $3.38
- Value
- $74,701
- Hees BernardoPurchase
26 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,974
- Price
- $3.30
- Value
- $6,514
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Krispy Kreme
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 35
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Grocery Stores
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Weis MarketsWMK $2B60
- Ingles MarketsIMKTA $1.6B53
- Grocery Outlet HoldingGO $1.3B46
- YeswayYSWY $799.91M46
- Natural Grocers by Vitamin CottageNGVC $671.79M62
- Village Super MarketVLGEA $624.98M65
- HelloFreshHFG.DE $466.14M40
- Dingdong (Cayman)DDL $397.96M29
ETFs that hold Krispy Kreme
Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.01% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
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| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.01% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.00% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.00% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.00% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.00% | 0.17% | €8.6B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 28 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Jun 2022)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.