Chefs' Warehouse stock
CHEFNASDAQThe Chefs' Warehouse, Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US1630861011
62Score 62 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
77 / 100
Price history
+72% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 15 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 19% above it.
Since December 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 50).
The price is 8.9% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 15 years: 91% (September 2019 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$109.36
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$88.83
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)50
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$57.27
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$116.42
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. belongs to the Food Distribution industry (United States) and, with a market value of $4.61B, is number 4 of 11 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $4.15B (up 9.4% year on year) and earnings of $72.36M (up 30.4%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.61B (up 11%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.56 (up 31.5%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 62 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 155 of 296 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- The P/E is 47.8 (Food Distribution median 25.5, own median of recent years 40.8).
- Our model puts fair value at $53.35, with the price 101% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 30.1% a year since 2020, Food Distribution median 10.5%.Growth 83
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 177% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 72
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 15.8% a year through 2028 (estimates from 5 analysts).Growth 83
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 101% above the fair value of $53.35.Valuation 21
- Richly valuedP/E 47.8, Food Distribution median 25.5, own median 40.8.Valuation 21
- DilutionShare count up 15% since 2020.Capital allocation 34
Its standout strengths are momentum and growth, while capital allocation and valuation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price up very strongly over the past year
- high price swings
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $41.04 and expensive above $76.22 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $50.23 (cash-flow model) and $56.47 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $48.86, at 7.8% it would be $60.11.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 25 Sep 2026, revenue rose 11.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2009, at around 19% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 24%, operating 4%, net 2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Feb 2027in 89 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.66 (expected $0.59)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.56+1.0%
- Revenue
- $4.61B+0.5%
- Earnings per share
- $3.07+0.3%
- Revenue
- $5.02B+0.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −6.8%Chefs' Warehouse raised its full-year 2026 guidance significantly: net sales now expected at $4.56 billion to $4.61 billion and adjusted EBITDA at $317 million to $321 million, up from prior lower levels.
“We estimate net sales for the full-year 2026 will be in the range of $4.56 billion to $4.61 billion, gross profit to be between $1.13 billion and $1.14 billion and adjusted EBITDA to be between $317 million and $321 million Thank you.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $15.56M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Aldous AlexandrosSale
14 Aug 2026, General Counsel
- Shares
- 35,000
- Price
- $110.97
- Value
- $3.88M
- Polychroni ChristinaSale
14 Aug 2026, Chief Human Resources Officer
- Shares
- 2,752
- Price
- $112.00
- Value
- $308,224
- Pappas ChristopherSale
14 Aug 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 100,000
- Price
- $110.11
- Value
- $11.01M
Show 1 more
- Polychroni ChristinaSale
19 May 2026, Chief Human Resources Officer
- Shares
- 4,500
- Price
- $79.21
- Value
- $356,428
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Chefs' Warehouse
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
296 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 62
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Food Distribution
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- SyscoSYY $37.88B66
- US Foods HoldingUSFD $23.56B68
- Performance Food Group CoPFGC $17.55B57
- MetroMEO2.VI $2.9B49
- United Natural FoodsUNFI $2.87B43
- Kernel HoldingKER.WA $1.46B52
- Mission ProduceAVO $1.03B37
- AcomoACOMO.AS $758.9M60
ETFs that hold Chefs' Warehouse
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.22% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.13% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.13% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
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| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.10% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.05% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.05% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.04% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 26 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 May 2024)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.