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Mission Produce stock

AVONASDAQ

Mission Produce, Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US60510V1089

$11.54▼ $0.24 (−2.0%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

36Score 36 out of 100, Weak

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

46 / 100

Price history

−9.1% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 10.0% below it.

Trend change

Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 47).

Distance to the high

The price is 25% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 63% (June 2021 to November 2023).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$12.25
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$12.82
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)47
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$10.11
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$15.34
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$1.01B
Div. yield
no dividend
597.5
Fair value
$5.34

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Mission Produce, Inc. belongs to the Food Distribution industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.01B, is number 8 of 11 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.39B (up 12.7% year on year) and earnings of $37.7M (up 2.7%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.45B (up 4.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.64 (down 19.5%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 36 out of 100 (Weak): rank 289 of 296 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
  • The P/E is 597.5 (Food Distribution median 25.4, own median of recent years 26.5).
  • Our model puts fair value at $5.34, with the price 116% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 16.8% a year through 2027 (estimates from 3 analysts).

Weaknesses

  • Richly valuedP/E 597.5, Food Distribution median 25.4, own median 26.5.Valuation 19
  • Above fair valuePrice 116% above the fair value of $5.34.Valuation 19
  • Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$2.3M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 44
36/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strength is stability, while valuation and profitability hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 37 to 36.

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency75% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)2.4%
Positive free cash flow63% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly overvalued
Price
$11.54
Fair value
$5.34
Gap to fair value
+116%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $3.82 and expensive above $8.90 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).

The two parts of the fair value come to $10.19 (cash-flow model) and $0.49 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $4.44, at 7.8% it would be $6.69.

Valuation metrics

36.12
21.2
Fair value (model)
$5.34
Earnings part $0.49 (earnings per share $0.02 × 25.4)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25.4).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

8 years

In the twelve months to 31 Jul 2026, revenue fell 6.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2018, at about 7% per year.

Margins

8 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 12%, operating 5%, net 3%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.65
7.6x
1.92
Cash & equivalents
$47.1M

Moderate debt, and interest is adequately covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
17 Dec 2026in 34 days
Last reported
8 Sep 2026EPS reported $0.18 (expected $0.12)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Fiscal 20274 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.80+2.1%
Revenue
$1.75B+4.4%
Fiscal 20282 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.93+22.4%
Revenue
$1.98B+11.1%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +5.8%

Second-half outlook reaffirmed: adjusted EBITDA of $84 million to $88 million with a meaningful seasonal increase in Q4.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“Turning to our outlook, we are reaffirming the second-half adjusted EBITDA range of $84 to $88 million provided last quarter. With third quarter adjusted EBITDA of $32.4 million, we expect fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA of $52 to $55 million, including a full-quarter of Calavo.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 8 Sep 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases
Cluster buy

3 insiders bought on the open market between 11 Jun 2026 and 9 Jul 2026, $44.75M in total. 2 insiders sold, $3.16M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Gonzalez Luis APurchase

    12 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    22,026
    Price
    $11.22
    Value
    $247,132
  • Gonzalez Luis APurchase

    9 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    29,996
    Price
    $11.59
    Value
    $347,654
  • Barnard Stephen JSale

    24 Sept 2026, Executive Chairman

    Shares
    11,255
    Price
    $13.00
    Value
    $146,315
Show 18 more
  • Barnard Stephen JSale

    21 Sept 2026, Executive Chairman

    Shares
    111,358
    Price
    $13.01
    Value
    $1.45M
  • Barnard Stephen JSale

    18 Sept 2026, Executive Chairman

    Shares
    35,562
    Price
    $12.55
    Value
    $446,177
  • Barnard Stephen JSale

    14 Sept 2026, Executive Chairman

    Shares
    66,496
    Price
    $13.02
    Value
    $865,461
  • Barnard Stephen JSale

    11 Sept 2026, Executive Chairman

    Shares
    15,000
    Price
    $13.10
    Value
    $196,500
  • Globalharvest Holdings Venture LtdPurchase

    9 Jul 2026, Major holder

    Shares
    592,957
    Price
    $13.28
    Value
    $7.87M
  • Globalharvest Holdings Venture LtdPurchase

    8 Jul 2026, Major holder

    Shares
    687,222
    Price
    $13.42
    Value
    $9.22M
  • Globalharvest Holdings Venture LtdPurchase

    7 Jul 2026, Major holder

    Shares
    491,865
    Price
    $13.40
    Value
    $6.59M
  • Globalharvest Holdings Venture LtdPurchase

    6 Jul 2026, Major holder

    Shares
    650,415
    Price
    $12.73
    Value
    $8.28M
  • Pack Jay APurchase

    30 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    40,000
    Price
    $12.10
    Value
    $484,000
  • Giles Bryan ESale

    29 Jun 2026, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $12.13
    Value
    $60,650
  • Taylor Bruce C.Purchase

    23 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    70,283
    Price
    $11.25
    Value
    $790,684
  • Taylor Bruce C.Purchase

    22 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    29,717
    Price
    $11.36
    Value
    $337,585
  • Taylor Bruce C.Purchase

    17 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    286,410
    Price
    $11.27
    Value
    $3.23M
  • Taylor Bruce C.Purchase

    16 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    13,590
    Price
    $11.40
    Value
    $154,926
  • Pack Jay APurchase

    15 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    188,550
    Price
    $11.34
    Value
    $2.14M
  • Taylor Bruce C.Purchase

    15 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    300,000
    Price
    $11.29
    Value
    $3.39M
  • Taylor Bruce C.Purchase

    12 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    165,842
    Price
    $11.16
    Value
    $1.85M
  • Pack Jay APurchase

    11 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    37,450
    Price
    $11.03
    Value
    $413,195

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

Sector comparison

296 rated companies in Consumer Defensive

Rank 289 of 296
289/ 296
This company
36
Sector median
62

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 296 companies16 (median 54)38 below the median
GrowthMedian of 296 companies28 (median 50)22 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 296 companies44 (median 79)35 below the median
ValuationMedian of 291 companies with a value19 (median 65)46 below the median
StabilityMedian of 296 companies72 (median 68)4 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 296 companies28 (median 62)34 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 296 companies46 (median 64)18 below the median
MomentumMedian of 296 companies41 (median 59)18 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Food Distribution

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 11 Food Distribution stocks

ETFs that hold Mission Produce

Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Rize Sustainable Future of Food UCITS ETFRIZF2.81%0.45%€58.13M
Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS0.03%0.39%€1.49B
L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ0.03%0.30%€185.82M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Oct 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 28 Aug 2026)
  • Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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