United Natural Foods stock
UNFINYSEUnited Natural Foods, Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US9111631035
43Score 43 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
69 / 100
Price history
+19% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 3.1% above it.
Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 52).
The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 93% (February 2015 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$45.91
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$46.19
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)52
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$31.42
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$55.52
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- United Natural Foods, Inc. belongs to the Food Distribution industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.86B, is number 6 of 11 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $31.55B (up 1.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.35 (up 26.7%).
- MEQIRI Score 43 out of 100 (Weak): rank 274 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
Show more
- The P/E is 35.7 (Food Distribution median 25.5, own median of recent years 13.7).
- Our model puts fair value at $56.68, with the price 16% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 385% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 51
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 17.8% a year through 2029 (estimates from 4 analysts).
Weaknesses
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.9 times.Stability 37
- Richly valuedP/E 35.7, Food Distribution median 25.5, own median 13.7.Valuation 51
- Earnings per share fallingDown 12.2% a year since 2021.Growth 28
The score is held back by growth and profitability.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 42 to 43.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $40.48 and expensive above $94.46 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $79.37 (cash-flow model) and $33.99 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9%. At 10% the fair value would be $50.45, at 8% it would be $65.89.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2026, revenue fell 2% on the prior year. Revenue has grown strongly since 2007, at around 14% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 13%, operating 1%, net 0%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 8 Dec 2026in 26 days
- Last reported
- 8 Sep 2026EPS reported $0.69 (expected $0.61)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $3.350.0%
- Revenue
- $31.55B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $4.060.0%
- Revenue
- $32.35B+0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +1.5%Fiscal 2027 outlook: adjusted EBITDA of $730 million to $780 million and adjusted EPS of $3.00 to $3.50, in line with the June update and $25 million above the Investor Day target.
“Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $730 to $780 million representing a high single digit growth rate at the midpoint and as Sandy mentioned, $25 million above the target we communicated at Investor Day.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 8 Sep 2026 (fiscal Q4 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $515,600 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Bushway MarkSale
23 Jun 2026, President, Natural & CSCO
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $51.56
- Value
- $515,600
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at United Natural Foods
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 43
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Food Distribution
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- US Foods HoldingUSFD $23.56B68
- Performance Food Group CoPFGC $17.55B57
- Chefs' WarehouseCHEF $4.66B62
- MetroMEO2.VI $2.9B49
- Kernel HoldingKER.WA $1.46B52
- Mission ProduceAVO $1.03B37
- AcomoACOMO.AS $758.9M60
- Sligro Food GroupSLIGR.AS $463.83M48
ETFs that hold United Natural Foods
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.32% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.23% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.16% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.10% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.10% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.09% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.03% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.02% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 1 Aug 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Oct 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.