XPO Logistics stock
XPONYSEXPO Logistics, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US9837931008
59Score 59 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
63 / 100
Price history
+34% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 5.0% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 55).
The price is 17% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 64% (September 2018 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$182.92
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$198.43
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)55
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$125.64
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$228.37
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- XPO Logistics, Inc. belongs to the Trucking industry (United States) and, with a market value of $21.97B, is number 2 of 13 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $8.16B (up 1.1% year on year) and earnings of $316M (down 18.3%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $9.12B (up 11.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $5.80 (up 55.4%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 59 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 589 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 44.2 (Trucking median 36.3, own median of recent years 20.8).
- Our model puts fair value at $235.35, with the price 20% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 87
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 131% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 87
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 16.7% a year through 2028 (estimates from 15 analysts).Growth 50
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 28% since 2020.Capital allocation 54
- High debtDebt 1.99 times equity (latest quarter), Trucking median 0.37.Stability 38
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 3 times.Stability 38
Its standout strength is fundamentals, while valuation and stability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $168.11 and expensive above $392.25 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $316.01 (cash-flow model) and $154.69 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $203.83, at 7.8% it would be $283.13.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (36.3).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 9.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 32% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 12%, operating 9%, net 4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Feb 2027in 83 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.70 (expected $1.58)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 4.9% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $5.80+4.9%
- Revenue
- $9.12B+0.5%
- Earnings per share
- $6.81+3.3%
- Revenue
- $9.67B+1.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +4.3%XPO raised its full year margin outlook, now expecting its operating ratio to improve by 250 basis points or more in 2026 versus the prior guide of more than 200 basis points, and expects a fourth quarter operating ratio below 82% versus the normal seasonal level of about 83%.
“Now for the full year, if you recall last quarter, we had said that we expect north of 200 basis points of margin improvement this year, based on our Q3 outperformance and the upside here in the fourth quarter, we now would expect our full year OR improvement of 250 basis points or better, so a very strong year as a …”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $3.38M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Wismans KyleSale
2 Nov 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 750
- Price
- $191.62
- Value
- $143,715
- Bates David J.Sale
2 Nov 2026, Chief Operating Officer
- Shares
- 2,615
- Price
- $194.08
- Value
- $507,511
- Bates David J.Sale
1 Oct 2026, Chief Operating Officer
- Shares
- 2,615
- Price
- $177.93
- Value
- $465,283
Show 6 more
- Wismans KyleSale
1 Oct 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 750
- Price
- $175.47
- Value
- $131,603
- Bates David J.Sale
14 Sept 2026, Chief Operating Officer
- Shares
- 2,615
- Price
- $179.41
- Value
- $469,160
- Wismans KyleSale
14 Sept 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 750
- Price
- $178.52
- Value
- $133,890
- Brown Christopher MichaelSale
11 Aug 2026, Chief Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 3,750
- Price
- $201.94
- Value
- $757,263
- Brown Christopher MichaelSale
10 Aug 2026, Chief Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 1,250
- Price
- $201.41
- Value
- $251,763
- Landry AllisonSale
28 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,400
- Price
- $215.61
- Value
- $517,472
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at XPO Logistics
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 59
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Trucking
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Old Dominion Freight LineODFL $35.37B73
- Knight-Swift Transportation HoldingsKNX $10.05B49
- SaiaSAIA $8.83B61
- TFI InternationalTFII $7.9B60
- Schneider NationalSNDR $5.08B51
- RXORXO $4.67B43
- ArcBestARCB $2.97B59
- Werner EnterprisesWERN $1.66B37
ETFs that hold XPO Logistics
Held by 69 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.62% | 0.30% | €5.36B |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.29% | 0.20% | €272.21M |
| Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL41 | 0.27% | 0.30% | €52.63M |
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| Xtrackers MSCI World Industrials UCITS ETF 1CXDWI | 0.22% | 0.25% | €1.22B |
| State Street SPDR Morningstar Multi-Asset Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF (Dist)ZPRI | 0.20% | 0.40% | €627.76M |
| iShares MSCI USA SRI UCITS ETF36B6 | 0.15% | 0.20% | €302.75M |
| iShares MSCI World Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETF USDIS3T | 0.11% | 0.30% | €411.06M |
| iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor UCITS ETFQDVA | 0.11% | 0.20% | €529.83M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 21 Nov 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.