Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings stock
KNXNYSEKnight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc., IndustrialsISIN US4990491049
49Score 49 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
50 / 100
Price history
+38% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 6.7% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 52).
The price is 25% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 52% (January 2018 to December 2018).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$64.47
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$66.21
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)52
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$41.68
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$82.45
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. belongs to the Trucking industry (United States) and, with a market value of $10.05B, is number 3 of 13 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $7.47B (up 0.8% year on year) and earnings of $65.95M (down 43.9%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $8.33B (up 11.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.39 (up 89.8%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 49 out of 100 (Weak): rank 818 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 65.8 (Trucking median 36.3, own median of recent years 18.6).
- Our model puts fair value at $52.72, with the price 17% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow above 500% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 74
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 42% a year through 2028 (estimates from 14 analysts).Growth 52
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 74
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 3.4%, average of the prior years 12.1% (to 2024).Profitability 26
- Earnings per share fallingDown 29.9% a year since 2020.Growth 52
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.6 times.Stability 51
Its standout strength is fundamentals, while capital allocation and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 50 to 49.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $37.66 and expensive above $87.86 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $71.36 (cash-flow model) and $34.08 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $46.48, at 7.8% it would be $62.10.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (36.3).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 14% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 28%, operating 3%, net 1%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 20 Jan 2027in 68 days
- Last reported
- 21 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.83 (expected $0.76)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 3.7% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.39+3.7%
- Revenue
- $8.33B+1.2%
- Earnings per share
- $4.10+1.4%
- Revenue
- $9.06B+1.7%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −5.7%No specific change to guidance mentioned, a gradual improvement in operating margin is expected along with continued rising insurance costs.
“We expect that over time, growing into our network investments, maturing freight mix, improvement in network density and continuously refining our operational cost execution, will allow us to drive sustained methodical improvement in operating margin.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 22 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $16.18M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 49
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Trucking
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Old Dominion Freight LineODFL $35.37B73
- XPO LogisticsXPO $21.97B59
- SaiaSAIA $8.83B61
- TFI InternationalTFII $7.9B60
- Schneider NationalSNDR $5.08B51
- RXORXO $4.67B43
- ArcBestARCB $2.97B59
- Werner EnterprisesWERN $1.66B37
ETFs that hold Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.29% | 0.30% | €5.36B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.15% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.09% | 0.35% | €8.27B |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.05% | 0.17% | €8.84B |
| Invesco RAFI US Fundamental Value UCITS ETF6PSA | 0.04% | 0.39% | €1.23B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.04% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.03% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.03% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak since 13 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.