RXO stock
RXONYSERXO, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US74982T1034
43Score 43 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
81 / 100
Price history
+129% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 4 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 31% above it.
Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 45).
The price is 3.4% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 4 years: 67% (July 2024 to November 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$24.94
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$21.63
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)45
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$10.48
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$29.30
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- RXO, Inc. belongs to the Trucking industry (United States) and, with a market value of $4.67B, is number 7 of 13 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $5.74B (up 26.2% year on year) and a loss of $100M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $6.95B (up 21%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.16.
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- MEQIRI Score 43 out of 100 (Weak): rank 886 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $21.28, with the price 33% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 11.3% a year since 2020, Trucking median 6.4%.
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 45% since 2020.Capital allocation 18
- Loss-makingLoss of $88M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 37
- Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $0.37 in 2020 to −$0.59.Growth 46
Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while capital allocation and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
- price up very strongly over the past year
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $14.19 and expensive above $42.56 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $17.47, at 7.8% it would be $27.02.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 10.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2019, at about 11% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 14%, operating 0%, net −2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 5 Feb 2027in 84 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.09 (expected $0.08)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 15.6% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.16+15.6%
- Revenue
- $6.95B+1.4%
- Earnings per share
- $0.66+3.0%
- Revenue
- $7.71B+2.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +10.9%2026 contract rates are now expected to rise by high single digits, up from a prior expectation of low to mid single digits; second quarter EBITDA is expected to increase significantly.
“As a result, we now expect that our full year 2026 contract rates will increase by high single digits.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 7 May 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at RXO
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 43
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Trucking
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Knight-Swift Transportation HoldingsKNX $10.05B49
- SaiaSAIA $8.83B61
- TFI InternationalTFII $7.9B60
- Schneider NationalSNDR $5.08B51
- ArcBestARCB $2.97B59
- Werner EnterprisesWERN $1.66B37
- Marten TransportMRTN $974.22M40
- Covenant Logistics GroupCVLG $832.9M50
ETFs that hold RXO
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.32% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.26% | 0.30% | €2.31B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.16% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
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| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.15% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.06% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.04% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.04% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.03% | 0.35% | €8.27B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Jan 2024)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.