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Waste Management stock

WMNYSE

Waste Management, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US94106L1098

$240.29▲ $2.91 (+1.2%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

71Score 71 out of 100, Strong

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Price and trend

64 / 100

Price history

+18% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 6.5% above it.

Trend change

Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 51).

Distance to the high

The price is 2.5% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 45% (July 2007 to March 2009).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$220.49
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$225.71
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)51
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$201.90
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$246.51
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$95.55B
Div. yield
1.52%
12 months
31.3
27.4
on earnings for the next twelve months ($8.77 per share)
Fair value
$235.39

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Waste Management, Inc. belongs to the Waste Management industry (United States) and, with a market value of $95.55B, is the largest of 15 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $25.2B (up 14.2% year on year) and earnings of $2.71B (down 1.4%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $26.46B (up 5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $8.06 (up 7.4%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 71 out of 100 (Strong): rank 180 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
  • The P/E is 31.3 (Waste Management median 30.9, own median of recent years 29.2).
  • Our model puts fair value at $235.39, with the price 2% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 28 years.Capital allocation 77
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 89
  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 122% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 89

Weaknesses

  • High debtDebt 2.37 times equity (latest quarter), Waste Management median 1.02.Stability 49
71/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are fundamentals and momentum, while stability and valuation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)122%
ROIC (12 months)11.6%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk low

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 9 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals
  • price near its 52-week high

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$240.29
Fair value
$235.39
Gap to fair value
+2%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $196.16 and expensive above $294.24 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $233.43 (cash-flow model) and $237.35 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is slightly above both parts; given how much the stock swings, that still counts as fair.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $214.86, at 7.8% it would be $266.27.

Valuation metrics

3.2
15.1
Fair value (model)
$235.39
Earnings part $237.35 (earnings per share $7.68 × 30.9)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (30.9).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 5.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 3% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 29%, operating 18%, net 11%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
2.37
4.8x
0.82
Cash & equivalents
$247M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
27 Jan 2027in 76 days
Last reported
27 Oct 2026EPS reported $2.15 (expected $2.18)in line with expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202619 analysts
Earnings per share
$8.06−0.6%
Revenue
$26.46B+0.2%
Fiscal 202720 analysts
Earnings per share
$8.89−1.6%
Revenue
$27.86B+0.1%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: −2.1%

Waste Management confirms its full year outlook, expecting revenue and free cash flow at the high end of the range and operating EBITDA within the prior range, but tempers fourth quarter margin expectations due to fuel costs and higher landfill costs.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“Despite a 70-basis-point headwind from higher fuel costs, total company operating expenses remained below 60% of revenue, demonstrating the increasingly important role of technology combined with process improvements is playing in sustaining our performance and helping us to structurally lower our cost to serve.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $1.01M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Varkey JohnsonSale

    5 Nov 2026, SVP-Chief Information Officer

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $242.00
    Value
    $121,000
  • Carroll John A.Sale

    4 Sept 2026, VP & Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    1,365
    Price
    $219.90
    Value
    $300,164
  • Carrasco RafaelSale

    5 Jun 2026, SVP of Enterprise Strategy

    Shares
    2,655
    Price
    $220.47
    Value
    $585,335

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Waste Management

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

1023 rated companies in Industrials

Rank 180 of 1023
180/ 1023
This company
71
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 1,023 companies71 (median 53)18 above the median
GrowthMedian of 1,023 companies76 (median 63)13 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 1,023 companies89 (median 71)18 above the median
ValuationMedian of 977 companies with a value45 (median 64)19 below the median
StabilityMedian of 1,023 companies49 (median 65)16 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 1,023 companies77 (median 55)22 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 1,023 companies64 (median 60)4 above the median
MomentumMedian of 1,023 companies80 (median 59)21 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Waste Management

The next smaller companies by market value

All 15 Waste Management stocks

ETFs that hold Waste Management

Held by 112 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 28 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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