Casella Waste Systems stock
CWSTNASDAQCasella Waste Systems, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US1474481041
47Score 47 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
72 / 100
Price history
+15% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 12% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 53).
The price is 6.6% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 97% (November 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$89.61
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$89.75
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)53
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$74.97
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$107.34
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Casella Waste Systems, Inc. belongs to the Waste Management industry (United States) and, with a market value of $6.28B, is number 7 of 15 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.84B (up 18% year on year) and earnings of $7.87M (down 41.9%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.1B (up 14.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.32 (up 4.1%).
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- MEQIRI Score 47 out of 100 (Weak): rank 846 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $35.19, with the price 180% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 18.9% a year since 2020, Waste Management median 10.6%.Growth 61
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 20.4% a year through 2028 (estimates from 7 analysts).Growth 61
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 180% above the fair value of $35.19.Valuation 16
- Earnings per share fallingDown 42.3% a year since 2020.Growth 61
- DilutionShare count up 30% since 2020.Capital allocation 22
Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while profitability and valuation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 46 to 47.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $27.07 and expensive above $50.27 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $29.35, at 7.8% it would be $43.95.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 13% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2005, at about 7% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 17%, operating 5%, net 0%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Feb 2027in 98 days
- Last reported
- 9 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.35 (expected $0.41)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 5.1% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.32−2.2%
- Revenue
- $2.1B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $1.66+5.1%
- Revenue
- $2.26B+0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −0.5%Revenue guidance raised by $30 million to $2.09 to $2.11 billion (acquisitions, fuel recovery fees), adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow reaffirmed, and GAAP net income lowered to $0 to $6 million on amortization and taxes.
“We lowered our GAAP net income guidance to a range of $0 million to $6 million, reflecting higher forecasted amortization expense and income tax provision.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 7 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $3.05M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Helgeson Bradford JohnSale
9 Nov 2026, Executive VP and CFO
- Shares
- 195
- Price
- $98.72
- Value
- $19,250
- Burke Michael KSale
3 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,100
- Price
- $95.26
- Value
- $104,786
- Burke Michael KSale
26 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,100
- Price
- $92.99
- Value
- $102,289
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- Casella Douglas RSale
14 Aug 2026, VICE CHAIRMAN, BD OF DIRECTORS
- Shares
- 1,343
- Price
- $91.12
- Value
- $122,374
- Casella Douglas RSale
13 Aug 2026, VICE CHAIRMAN, BD OF DIRECTORS
- Shares
- 15,157
- Price
- $91.05
- Value
- $1.38M
- Burke Michael KSale
26 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,305
- Price
- $87.56
- Value
- $201,826
- Coletta EdmondSale
19 May 2026, PRESIDENT & CEO
- Shares
- 12,500
- Price
- $89.56
- Value
- $1.12M
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Casella Waste Systems
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 47
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Waste Management
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Waste ConnectionsWCN $48.09B68
- Veolia EnvironnementVIE.PA $27.93B61
- Clean HarborsCLH $15.29B64
- GFL EnvironmentalGFL $15.14B44
- Fomento de Construcciones y ContratasFCC.MC $5.58B56
- Tomra SystemsTOM.OL $3.12B64
- DerichebourgDBG.PA $1.46B64
- OnterrisONT $824.97M45
ETFs that hold Casella Waste Systems
Held by 15 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Smart City Infrastructure UCITS ETFAYEU | 0.94% | 0.40% | €343.1M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.35% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.25% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
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| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.21% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.20% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.06% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| State Street SPDR Morningstar Multi-Asset Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF (Dist)ZPRI | 0.06% | 0.40% | €622.34M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.05% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 20 Jun 2025)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.