GFL Environmental stock
GFLNYSEGFL Environmental Inc., IndustrialsISIN CA36168Q1046
44Score 44 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
74 / 100
Price history
−0.3% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 7 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 6.2% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 47).
The price is 6.7% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 7 years: 43% (November 2021 to October 2022).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$43.30
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$40.85
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)47
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$33.54
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$46.51
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- GFL Environmental Inc. belongs to the Waste Management industry (United States) and, with a market value of $15.14B, is number 6 of 15 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- MEQIRI Score 44 out of 100 (Weak): rank 875 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- Loss-makingLoss of $255.2M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 22
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.5 times.Stability 48
Its standout strength is technical analysis, while fundamentals and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 43 to 44.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
OvervaluedA fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.
Valuation metrics
The model puts the fair value at less than a quarter of the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 7.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2016, at around 24% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 21%, operating 5%, net not measured.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Feb 2027in 90 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported 0.19 (expected 0.19)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- 0.82+2.2%
- Revenue
- $5.79B+2.1%
- Earnings per share
- 1.15+2.3%
- Revenue
- $7.03B+1.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +3.7%GFL raised full year 2026 guidance for the third time: revenue and EBITDA growth now expected in the low-to-mid 20s percent range, free cash flow growth over 30%, and EBITDA margin raised to 30.9% (up 40 basis points).
“Adjusted EBITDA margin increases 40 basis points over our previous guide to 30.9%, despite the significant headwind from elevated diesel prices, which are assumed to continue for the balance of the year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at GFL Environmental
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 44
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Waste Management
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Republic ServicesRSG $75.96B74
- Waste ConnectionsWCN $48.09B68
- Veolia EnvironnementVIE.PA $27.93B61
- Clean HarborsCLH $15.29B64
- Casella Waste SystemsCWST $6.17B47
- Fomento de Construcciones y ContratasFCC.MC $5.58B56
- Tomra SystemsTOM.OL $3.12B64
- DerichebourgDBG.PA $1.46B64
ETFs that hold GFL Environmental
Held by 57 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi Global Bioenergy UCITS ETF EUR AccWDNR | 4.08% | 0.35% | €151.65M |
| iShares Smart City Infrastructure UCITS ETFAYEU | 1.78% | 0.40% | €343.1M |
| Xtrackers MSCI Canada Screened UCITS ETF 1CD5BH | 0.51% | 0.35% | €1.2B |
Show 5 more
| iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETFSXR2 | 0.46% | 0.48% | €2.15B |
| UBS MSCI Canada UCITS ETF CAD disUIM9 | 0.45% | 0.33% | €2.06B |
| iShares MSCI World Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETF USDIS3T | 0.17% | 0.30% | €408.01M |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Industrials UCITS ETF 1CXDWI | 0.14% | 0.25% | €1.21B |
| Invesco MSCI World Equal Weight UCITS ETF Acc AccumUSDMWEQ | 0.09% | 0.20% | €2.06B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CA$1.4235)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 28 Feb 2021)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.