Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. stock
VISTNYSEEnergyISIN US92837L1098
58Score 58 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
37 / 100
Price history
+12% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 7 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 18% below it.
Since December 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 10).
The price is 30% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 7 years: 81% (July 2019 to April 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$68.75
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$67.41
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)10
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$43.88
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$79.25
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. belongs to the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry (Mexico) and, with a market value of $5.79B, is number 28 of 69 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- This is an American depositary receipt (ADR).
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.47B (up 50.2% year on year) and earnings of $719.06M (up 50.6%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 58 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 147 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
- The P/E is 7.9 (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 11.1, own median of recent years 7).
- Our model puts fair value at $127.17, with the price 56% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 55.3% a year since 2020, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 21.1%.Growth 70
- Below fair valuePrice 56% below the fair value of $127.17.Valuation 82
- High marginNet margin 20% over the last 12 months, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 12.4%.Profitability 84
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 17% since 2020.Capital allocation 55
Its standout strengths are profitability and valuation, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 59 to 58.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
- high price swings
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $90.83 and expensive above $211.95 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $176.21 (cash-flow model) and $78.13 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.2%. At 10.2% the fair value would be $112.23, at 8.2% it would be $149.03.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (11.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 84.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2017, at around 37% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 47%, operating 33%, net 29%. Last 12 months: net 20%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Feb 2027in 103 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 10.9% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- 10.12+10.9%
- Revenue
- $4.3B+5.0%
- Earnings per share
- 10.51+9.9%
- Revenue
- $4.53B+5.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −2.5%Vista Energy reiterates its 2027 production guidance of 185,000 barrels per day and EBITDA guidance of $3.3 billion, but raises its new well activity guidance toward the higher end of 100 to 110 wells and expects a larger buyback due to strong cash flow.
“This will push us toward the higher end of our activity guidance, which was between 100 and 110 new wells.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
266 rated companies in Energy
- This company
- 58
- Sector median
- 60
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- SM EnergySM $7.7B57
- Matador ResourcesMTDR $6.54B61
- Magnolia Oil & GasMGY $6.43B68
- PrairieSky RoyaltyPSK.TO $5.83B76
- Strathcona ResourcesSCR.TO $5.66B53
- LandBridgeLB $5.44B63
- Murphy OilMUR $5.21B53
- CNX ResourcesCNX $5.2B68
ETFs that hold Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.
Held by 3 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Oil & Gas Exploration & Production UCITS ETF USD (Acc)IS0D | 0.84% | 0.55% | €382.18M |
| UBS Core MSCI EM UCITS ETF USD disUIMI | 0.06% | 0.15% | €10.57B |
| Amundi Prime All Country World UCITS ETF AccWEBN | 0.01% | 0.07% | €8.95B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Sep 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.