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Matador Resources stock

MTDRNYSE

Matador Resources Company, EnergyISIN US5764852050

$52.81▲ $0.73 (+1.4%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

61Score 61 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

49 / 100

Price history

+32% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 15 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 3.7% below it.

Trend change

Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 29).

Distance to the high

The price is 19% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 15 years: 96% (May 2018 to March 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$55.63
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$54.86
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)29
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$39.88
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$65.45
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$6.54B
Div. yield
2.96%
12 months
9.1
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
5.5
on earnings for the next twelve months ($9.64 per share)
Fair value
$141.85

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Matador Resources Company belongs to the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry (United States) and, with a market value of $6.54B, is number 25 of 69 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.66B (up 5.1% year on year) and earnings of $759.22M (down 14.2%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.38B (up 19.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $8.29 (up 44.1%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 61 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 126 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
  • The P/E is 9.1 (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 11.1, own median of recent years 7.6).
  • Our model puts fair value at $141.85, with the price 63% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 33.7% a year since 2020, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 21.1%.Growth 70
  • Below fair valuePrice 63% below the fair value of $141.85.Valuation 84

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

61/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are valuation and profitability, while stability and capital allocation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency80% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)79%
ROIC (12 months)12.3%
Positive free cash flow50% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
  • high price swings

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$52.81
Fair value
$141.85
Gap to fair value
−63%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $101.32 and expensive above $236.41 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $219.53 (cash-flow model) and $64.17 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $121.69, at 7.8% it would be $172.25.

Valuation metrics

3.13
4.7
Fair value (model)
$141.85
Earnings part $64.17 (earnings per share $5.81 × 11.1)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (11.1).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

17 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 6.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2009, at around 39% per year.

Margins

17 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 46%, operating 32%, net 21%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.77
6x
0.55
Cash & equivalents
$11.76M

Moderate debt, and interest is adequately covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
23 Feb 2027in 102 days
Last reported
3 Nov 2026EPS reported $2.08 (expected $1.85)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 6.4% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20269 analysts
Earnings per share
$8.29+2.5%
Revenue
$4.38B+2.8%
Fiscal 202714 analysts
Earnings per share
$9.85+6.4%
Revenue
$4.99B+4.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +4.3%

Production guidance raised after production exceeded the high end of guidance; free cash flow of possibly $900 million is expected for the year.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We expect to now generate possibly $900 million in free cash flow for the year.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases
Cluster buy

9 insiders bought on the open market between 5 Nov 2026 and 10 Nov 2026, $765,395 in total.

  • Foran Joseph WmPurchase

    10 Nov 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    2,500
    Price
    $49.29
    Value
    $123,225
  • Ehrman Monika UPurchase

    9 Nov 2026, Board

    Shares
    339
    Price
    $50.10
    Value
    $16,984
  • Appel Shelley FPurchase

    9 Nov 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,075
    Price
    $49.96
    Value
    $53,703
Show 26 more
  • Stetson Glenn WPurchase

    6 Nov 2026, EVP and COO

    Shares
    1,000
    Price
    $50.80
    Value
    $50,800
  • Appel Shelley FPurchase

    6 Nov 2026, Board

    Shares
    275
    Price
    $50.25
    Value
    $13,819
  • Harvey Paul WPurchase

    5 Nov 2026, Board

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $52.72
    Value
    $26,360
  • Foran Joseph WmPurchase

    5 Nov 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $51.36
    Value
    $256,800
  • Elsener William ThomasPurchase

    5 Nov 2026, EVP, Reservoir Engineering

    Shares
    900
    Price
    $51.48
    Value
    $46,332
  • Erman Bryan APurchase

    5 Nov 2026, President

    Shares
    915
    Price
    $50.79
    Value
    $46,473
  • Colodney Benjamin TPurchase

    5 Nov 2026, SVP & Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $51.52
    Value
    $25,760
  • Calvert Christopher PPurchase

    5 Nov 2026, EVP and CFO

    Shares
    2,000
    Price
    $52.57
    Value
    $105,140
  • Calvert Christopher PPurchase

    27 Aug 2026, EVP and CFO

    Shares
    2,500
    Price
    $56.64
    Value
    $141,600
  • Foran Joseph WmPurchase

    26 Aug 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    555
    Price
    $54.49
    Value
    $30,242
  • Foran Joseph WmPurchase

    17 Aug 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    400
    Price
    $53.64
    Value
    $21,456
  • Foran Joseph WmPurchase

    13 Aug 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $51.44
    Value
    $257,200
  • Foran Joseph WmPurchase

    12 Aug 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    10,000
    Price
    $52.16
    Value
    $521,600
  • Foran Joseph WmPurchase

    11 Aug 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    709
    Price
    $51.68
    Value
    $36,641
  • Elsener William ThomasPurchase

    10 Aug 2026, EVP, Reservoir Engineering

    Shares
    850
    Price
    $50.94
    Value
    $43,299
  • Foran Joseph WmPurchase

    10 Aug 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    3,130
    Price
    $51.04
    Value
    $159,755
  • Baty Robert GainesPurchase

    15 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $51.44
    Value
    $25,720
  • Stetson Glenn WPurchase

    9 Jun 2026, EVP and COO

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $53.41
    Value
    $26,705
  • Foran Joseph WmPurchase

    9 Jun 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    2,000
    Price
    $53.07
    Value
    $106,140
  • Ehrman Monika UPurchase

    8 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    362
    Price
    $55.28
    Value
    $20,011
  • Foran Joseph WmPurchase

    4 Jun 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    2,000
    Price
    $56.25
    Value
    $112,500
  • Colodney Benjamin TPurchase

    29 May 2026, SVP & Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    250
    Price
    $53.41
    Value
    $13,353
  • Calvert Christopher PPurchase

    29 May 2026, EVP and CFO

    Shares
    1,500
    Price
    $53.24
    Value
    $79,860
  • Foran Joseph WmPurchase

    29 May 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    482
    Price
    $52.70
    Value
    $25,401
  • Stetson Glenn WPurchase

    28 May 2026, EVP and COO

    Shares
    500
    Price
    $53.94
    Value
    $26,970
  • Foran Joseph WmPurchase

    27 May 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    4,675
    Price
    $52.36
    Value
    $244,783

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

Sector comparison

266 rated companies in Energy

Rank 126 of 266
126/ 266
This company
61
Sector median
60

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 266 companies74 (median 58)16 above the median
GrowthMedian of 266 companies70 (median 65)5 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 266 companies59 (median 62)3 below the median
ValuationMedian of 254 companies with a value84 (median 82)2 above the median
StabilityMedian of 266 companies49 (median 60)11 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 266 companies39 (median 48)9 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 266 companies49 (median 53)4 below the median
MomentumMedian of 266 companies58 (median 56)2 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 69 Oil & Gas Exploration & Production stocks

ETFs that hold Matador Resources

Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Jan 2025)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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