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SM Energy stock

SMNYSE

SM Energy Company, EnergyISIN US78454L1008

$32.77▲ $1.61 (+5.2%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

56Score 56 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

53 / 100

Price history

+79% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 6.0% above it.

Trend change

Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 30).

Distance to the high

The price is 21% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 98% (November 2013 to April 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$36.26
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$30.93
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)30
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$17.57
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$41.29
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$7.32B
Div. yield
2.76%
12 months
7.9
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
3.7
on earnings for the next twelve months ($8.50 per share)
Fair value
no data

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • SM Energy Company belongs to the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry (United States) and, with a market value of $7.7B, is number 24 of 69 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.15B (up 18.1% year on year) and earnings of $648M (down 15.9%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $7.84B (up 148.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $8.07 (up 48.9%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 56 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 159 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
  • The P/E is 8.4 (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production median 10.8, own median of recent years 4.7).

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

None of our strength checks applies.

Weaknesses

  • Margin fallingOperating margin 26.1%, average of the prior years 40.3% (to 2024).Profitability 68
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 54% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 44
56/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strength is valuation, while capital allocation and fundamentals hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 55 to 56.

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency60% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)29%
ROIC (12 months)9.5%
Positive free cash flow50% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals
  • high price swings
  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest

Valuation

Valuation signal

Undervalued
Price
$31.16
Fair value
not meaningful
Gap to fair value
no data

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

A fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.

Valuation metrics

46.3
3.6
Fair value (model)
no data

The model puts the fair value at more than four times the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 110% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 8% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 32%, operating 26%, net 21%. Last 12 months: net 14%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.85
5.8x
0.57
Cash & equivalents
$442M

Moderate debt, and interest is adequately covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
24 Feb 2027in 104 days
Last reported
3 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.95 (expected $2.01)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 5.7% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202611 analysts
Earnings per share
$8.07+3.6%
Revenue
$7.84B+2.1%
Fiscal 202710 analysts
Earnings per share
$8.56+5.7%
Revenue
$7.83B+1.6%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +3.1%

2026 production midpoint raised from 410,000 to 420,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, capital guidance of $2.65 billion to $2.85 billion unchanged.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“In summary, the portfolio delivered, and we are raising our full year production midpoint from 410,000 to 420,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, and the oil production midpoint from 221,000 to 225,000 barrels per day. Importantly, we are maintaining our full year capital guidance of $2.65 billion to $2.85 billion.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 7 May 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $1.62M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Venkatraman AshwinSale

    10 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    3,650
    Price
    $38.28
    Value
    $139,722
  • Lebeck James BarkerSale

    21 Aug 2026, EVP, GC & Corp Secretary

    Shares
    17,500
    Price
    $37.02
    Value
    $647,850
  • Peru Ramiro GSale

    21 May 2026, Board

    Shares
    24,553
    Price
    $33.98
    Value
    $834,311

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at SM Energy

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

266 rated companies in Energy

Rank 159 of 266
159/ 266
This company
56
Sector median
60

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 266 companies68 (median 58)10 above the median
GrowthMedian of 266 companies69 (median 65)4 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 266 companies37 (median 62)25 below the median
ValuationMedian of 255 companies with a value70 (median 82)12 below the median
StabilityMedian of 266 companies44 (median 60)16 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 266 companies44 (median 48)4 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 266 companies53 (median 54)1 below the median
MomentumMedian of 266 companies63 (median 56)7 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 69 Oil & Gas Exploration & Production stocks

ETFs that hold SM Energy

Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 14 Nov 2025)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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