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Vertex stock

VERXNASDAQ

Vertex, Inc., TechnologyISIN US92538J1060

$17.83▼ $0.01 (−0.1%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

48Score 48 out of 100, Weak

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Price and trend

85 / 100

Price history

−9.3% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 35% above it.

Trend change

Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 71).

Distance to the high

The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 82% (January 2025 to June 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$13.63
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$13.19
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)71
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$10.58
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$20.71
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$2.89B
Div. yield
no dividend
Loss
includes one-off items, adjusted 22.3
18.0
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.99 per share)
Fair value
$16.93

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Vertex, Inc. belongs to the Software (Application) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.89B, is number 97 of 189 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $827.14M (up 10.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.82 (up 28.3%).
  • MEQIRI Score 48 out of 100 (Weak): rank 656 of 857 in Technology, median 61.
Show more
  • Our model puts fair value at $16.93, with the price 5% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 17.9% a year through 2028 (estimates from 7 analysts).Growth 69

Weaknesses

  • Loss-makingLoss of $47.1M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 38
  • High debtDebt 1.45 times equity (latest quarter), Software (Application) median 0.36.Stability 51
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 61% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 51
48/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strengths are technical analysis and momentum, while profitability and capital allocation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency25% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)−0.8%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals
  • high price swings

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$17.83
Fair value
$16.93
Gap to fair value
+5%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $11.29 and expensive above $33.86 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.1%. At 11.1% the fair value would be $14.40, at 9.1% it would be $20.45.

Valuation metrics

no data
55.5
Fair value (model)
$16.93

From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

8 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 10.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2018, at around 16% per year.

Margins

8 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 61%, operating −1%, net 1%. Last 12 months: net −6%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.45
> 100x
0.87
Cash & equivalents
$230.49M

Meaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
10 Feb 2027in 90 days
Last reported
4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.26 (expected $0.22)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202612 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.82+0.2%
Revenue
$827.14M0.0%
Fiscal 202712 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.02+0.1%
Revenue
$914.03M0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −4.0%

2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $206 million to $210 million (previously $202 million to $208 million) and the revenue range narrowed to $825 million to $830 million.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“For full year guidance, we are narrowing the revenue range to $825 million to $830 million, and we're increasing the full year adjusted EBITDA guide to $206 million to $210 million from $202 million to $208 million previously.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 3 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $82,365 in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • DeStefano DavidSale

    28 May 2026, Board

    Shares
    6,460
    Price
    $12.75
    Value
    $82,365

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Vertex

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

857 rated companies in Technology

Rank 656 of 857
656/ 857
This company
48
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 857 companies25 (median 59)34 below the median
GrowthMedian of 857 companies69 (median 68)1 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 857 companies38 (median 67)29 below the median
ValuationMedian of 788 companies with a value41 (median 52)11 below the median
StabilityMedian of 857 companies51 (median 67)16 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 857 companies9 (median 53)44 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 857 companies85 (median 59)26 above the median
MomentumMedian of 857 companies72 (median 56)16 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Software (Application)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 189 Software (Application) stocks

ETFs that hold Vertex

Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 21 Feb 2025)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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