Alarm.com Holdings stock
ALRMNASDAQAlarm.com Holdings, Inc., TechnologyISIN US0116421050
74Score 74 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
83 / 100
Price history
+32% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 11 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 31% above it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 59).
The price is 2.3% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 11 years: 61% (January 2021 to May 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$58.65
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$50.80
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)59
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$42.13
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$67.96
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. belongs to the Software (Application) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.26B, is number 94 of 188 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.01B (up 7.6% year on year) and earnings of $132.57M (up 6.8%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.08B (up 7.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.92 (up 11.6%).
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- MEQIRI Score 74 out of 100 (Strong): rank 128 of 854 in Technology, median 61.
- The P/E is 31.8 (Software (Application) median 31.3, own median of recent years 51.9).
- Our model puts fair value at $52.83, with the price 26% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 206% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 90
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 90
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are momentum and fundamentals, while valuation holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 73 to 74.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- price near its 52-week high
- stable momentum
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $40.64 and expensive above $75.47 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $40.27 (cash-flow model) and $65.39 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.2%. At 11.2% the fair value would be $50.12, at 9.2% it would be $56.54.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (31.3).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 9.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2011, at around 22% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 66%, operating 13%, net 13%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Feb 2027in 97 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.90 (expected $0.75)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.92+1.0%
- Revenue
- $1.08B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $3.08+0.3%
- Revenue
- $1.13B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +1.5%2026 outlook raised: total revenue of $1.079 to $1.089 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $221 to $223 million (up $6.5 million) and hardware revenue up $15 million.
“We are raising our non GAAP adjusted EBITDA outlook for 2026 to between $221 million and $223 million an increase of approximately $6.5 million at the midpoint.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 5 insiders sold, $4.91M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Clarke Donald ESale
10 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 4,624
- Price
- $64.94
- Value
- $300,283
- Trundle StephenSale
24 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 50,000
- Price
- $57.67
- Value
- $2.88M
- Bradley Kevin ChristopherSale
12 Aug 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 5,400
- Price
- $55.07
- Value
- $297,378
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- Bradley Kevin ChristopherSale
2 Jul 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 724
- Price
- $48.46
- Value
- $35,085
- Ramos DanielSale
12 Jun 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $46.50
- Value
- $93,000
- Ramos DanielSale
10 Jun 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 8,000
- Price
- $46.23
- Value
- $369,840
- Bradley Kevin ChristopherSale
10 Jun 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 2,200
- Price
- $46.15
- Value
- $101,530
- Trundle StephenSale
26 May 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 6,073
- Price
- $43.78
- Value
- $265,876
- Ramos DanielSale
26 May 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 2,532
- Price
- $43.78
- Value
- $110,851
- Kerzner DanielSale
26 May 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 3,944
- Price
- $43.78
- Value
- $172,668
- Kerzner DanielSale
18 May 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 1,915
- Price
- $43.56
- Value
- $83,417
- Ramos DanielSale
18 May 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 1,561
- Price
- $43.56
- Value
- $67,997
- Trundle StephenSale
18 May 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 2,944
- Price
- $43.56
- Value
- $128,241
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Alarm.com Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
854 rated companies in Technology
- This company
- 74
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Software (Application)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
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- Via TransportationVIA $3.27B42
- monday.comMNDY $3.26B56
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ETFs that hold Alarm.com Holdings
Held by 16 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Digital Security UCITS ETFL0CK | 0.62% | 0.40% | €1.93B |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.19% | 0.30% | €2.31B |
| Amundi MSCI Smart Cities UCITS ETF ACCAMEC | 0.13% | 0.45% | €62.23M |
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| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.10% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.10% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.09% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.04% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.04% | 0.45% | €1.54B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 2 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.