Union Pacific stock
UNPNYSEUnion Pacific Corporation, IndustrialsISIN US9078181081
76Score 76 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
78 / 100
Price history
+34% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 11% above it.
Since December 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 53).
The price is 2.7% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 60% (August 2008 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$286.72
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$273.24
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)53
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$220.82
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$310.62
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Union Pacific Corporation belongs to the Railroads industry (United States) and, with a market value of $179.48B, is the largest of 29 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $24.51B (up 1.1% year on year) and earnings of $7.14B (up 5.8%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $27.42B (up 11.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $13.18 (up 12.9%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 76 out of 100 (Strong): rank 49 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 23.6 (Railroads median 25, own median of recent years 20.5).
- Our model puts fair value at $346.89, with the price 13% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 28 years.Capital allocation 85
- High marginNet margin 28.9% over the last 12 months, Railroads median 11.7%.Profitability 90
- Share buybacksShare count down 13% since 2020.Capital allocation 85
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are profitability and fundamentals.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among the 100 largest stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 7 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 9 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $289.07 and expensive above $433.61 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $374.07 (cash-flow model) and $319.71 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $313.54, at 7.8% it would be $397.10.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 7.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 59%, operating 40%, net 29%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterMeaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 26 Jan 2027in 75 days
- Last reported
- 22 Oct 2026EPS reported $3.53 (expected $3.47)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $13.18+0.7%
- Revenue
- $27.42B+1.2%
- Earnings per share
- $14.40+1.1%
- Revenue
- $29.01B+2.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +5.0%2026 outlook raised to reported EPS growth in the high single digit range, while compensation per employee is now expected to rise around 6%.
“Although we're confident we'll continue that productivity trend, we now expect full year compensation per employee to increase around 6%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 23 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $789,504 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Gehringer Eric JSale
3 Jun 2026, EVP OPERATIONS
- Shares
- 2,991
- Price
- $263.96
- Value
- $789,504
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Union Pacific
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 76
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Railroads
The next smaller companies by market value
- CSXCSX $95.67B73
- Canadian Pacific Kansas CityCP $81.54B66
- Canadian National RailwayCNI $76.5B73
- Norfolk SouthernNSC $74.26B70
- Westinghouse Air Brake TechnologiesWAB $51.04B71
- Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway601816.SS $38.14B70
- East Japan Railway9020.T $27.53B56
- CRRC601766.SS $27.28B61
ETFs that hold Union Pacific
Held by 128 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF USDIQQI | 5.31% | 0.65% | €2.34B |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Industrials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDI | 3.43% | 0.15% | €874.42M |
| iShares S&P 500 Industrials Sector UCITS ETF2B7C | 3.39% | 0.15% | €635.94M |
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| iShares MSCI USA Quality Dividend Advanced UCITS ETFQDVD | 2.39% | 0.35% | €777.04M |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Industrials UCITS ETF 1CXDWI | 1.88% | 0.25% | €1.21B |
| State Street SPDR Morningstar Multi-Asset Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF (Dist)ZPRI | 1.72% | 0.40% | €622.34M |
| UBS Factor MSCI USA Prime Value Screened UCITS ETF USD disUBUS | 1.31% | 0.25% | €127.84M |
| Xtrackers MSCI North America High Dividend Yield UCITS ETF 1CXDND | 1.21% | 0.39% | €264.04M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 26 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.