CSX stock
CSXNASDAQCSX Corporation, IndustrialsISIN US1264081035
73Score 73 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
79 / 100
Price history
+48% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 12% above it.
Since July 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 51).
The price is 2.5% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 70% (May 2008 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$48.85
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$46.18
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)51
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$33.68
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$53.23
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- CSX Corporation belongs to the Railroads industry (United States) and, with a market value of $95.67B, is number 2 of 29 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $14.09B (down 3.1% year on year) and earnings of $2.89B (down 16.7%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $15.42B (up 9.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.06 (up 27.7%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 73 out of 100 (Strong): rank 103 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 26.9 (Railroads median 25, own median of recent years 18.5).
- Our model puts fair value at $53.20, with the price 2% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 25 years.Capital allocation 82
- Share buybacksShare count down 19% since 2020.Capital allocation 82
- High marginNet margin 24% over the last 12 months, Railroads median 11.7%.Profitability 81
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are momentum and fundamentals.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 9 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- price near its 52-week high
- calm price action
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $44.34 and expensive above $66.50 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $58.19 (cash-flow model) and $48.22 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $48.00, at 7.8% it would be $61.04.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 5.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 33%, operating 32%, net 21%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 28 Jan 2027in 77 days
- Last reported
- 21 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.57 (expected $0.53)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.06+2.6%
- Revenue
- $15.42B+0.9%
- Earnings per share
- $2.34+2.4%
- Revenue
- $16.29B+1.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +5.9%2026 guidance updated: revenue growth in the mid to high single digits, operating margin expansion of more than 350 basis points and free cash flow growth of more than 80%.
“We now expect full year revenue growth in the mid- to high single digits, operating margin expansion of greater than 350 basis points and free cash flow growth of greater than 80%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 22 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $10.13M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at CSX
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 73
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Railroads
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Union PacificUNP $179.48B76
- Canadian Pacific Kansas CityCP $81.54B66
- Canadian National RailwayCNI $76.5B73
- Norfolk SouthernNSC $74.26B70
- Westinghouse Air Brake TechnologiesWAB $51.04B71
- Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway601816.SS $38.14B70
- East Japan Railway9020.T $27.53B56
- CRRC601766.SS $27.28B61
ETFs that hold CSX
Held by 122 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF USDIQQI | 2.83% | 0.65% | €2.34B |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Industrials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDI | 1.82% | 0.15% | €874.42M |
| iShares S&P 500 Industrials Sector UCITS ETF2B7C | 1.79% | 0.15% | €635.94M |
Show 5 more
| Amundi US Tech 100 Equal Weight UCITS ETF DR USDWEBA | 1.29% | 0.07% | €340.27M |
| iShares MSCI World Momentum Factor Advanced UCITS ETFCBUH | 1.13% | 0.25% | €261.8M |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Industrials UCITS ETF 1CXDWI | 0.99% | 0.25% | €1.21B |
| Fidelity US Quality Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccFUSU | 0.96% | 0.30% | €2.09B |
| State Street SPDR Morningstar Multi-Asset Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF (Dist)ZPRI | 0.92% | 0.40% | €622.34M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.