United Airlines Holdings stock
UALNASDAQUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US9100471096
65Score 65 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
69 / 100
Price history
+11% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 2.8% above it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 63).
The price is 18% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 93% (October 2007 to July 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$108.11
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$108.26
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)63
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$85.21
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$136.11
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- United Airlines Holdings, Inc. belongs to the Airlines and Airports industry (United States) and, with a market value of $36.14B, is number 3 of 51 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $59.07B (up 3.5% year on year) and earnings of $3.35B (up 6.5%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $68.75B (up 16.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $7.13 (down 33.1%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 65 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 398 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 10.2 (Airlines and Airports median 15.9, own median of recent years 10.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $311.41, with the price 62% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 39.8% a year through 2028 (estimates from 14 analysts).Growth 70
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 17% since 2020.Capital allocation 61
- Volatile share priceVolatility 49% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 34
Its standout strengths are valuation and momentum, while fundamentals and stability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $222.44 and expensive above $519.02 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $448.68 (cash-flow model) and $174.15 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.7%. At 10.7% the fair value would be $275.43, at 8.7% it would be $362.36.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but high risk.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (15.9).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 12.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 6% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 64%, operating 8%, net 6%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 19 Jan 2027in 68 days
- Last reported
- 20 Oct 2026EPS reported $2.54 (expected $2.57)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 11.5% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $7.13−11.5%
- Revenue
- $68.75B+0.4%
- Earnings per share
- $11.75−8.8%
- Revenue
- $73.97B+1.7%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: −4.6%Full-year EPS range tightened to the high end of the earlier guide ($9 to $11), but the fuel price spike costs $1.12 per share and only 80% to 90% is recovered in Q3.
“For the full year, we are tightening our guidance range to the high end of our previous guide and expect earnings per share between $9 and $11 early July, fuel prices have increased 15% to 20%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 16 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 6 insiders sold, $59.98M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Kirby J ScottSale
10 Nov 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 90,367
- Price
- $119.79
- Value
- $10.83M
- Nocella Andrew PSale
9 Nov 2026, EVP & Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 7,500
- Price
- $119.41
- Value
- $895,575
- Gebo KateSale
9 Nov 2026, EVP HR and Labor Relations
- Shares
- 40,000
- Price
- $119.56
- Value
- $4.78M
Show 12 more
- Leskinen Michael D.Sale
6 Nov 2026, EVP & Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 14,711
- Price
- $112.59
- Value
- $1.66M
- Hart Brett JSale
30 Oct 2026, President
- Shares
- 39,000
- Price
- $102.68
- Value
- $4M
- Nocella Andrew PSale
25 Aug 2026, EVP & Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $117.00
- Value
- $585,000
- Nocella Andrew PSale
4 Aug 2026, EVP & Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $132.30
- Value
- $396,900
- Leskinen Michael D.Sale
3 Aug 2026, EVP & Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $128.19
- Value
- $1.28M
- Nocella Andrew PSale
28 Jul 2026, EVP & Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 4,200
- Price
- $120.48
- Value
- $506,016
- Hart Brett JSale
28 Jul 2026, President
- Shares
- 30,108
- Price
- $120.72
- Value
- $3.63M
- Enqvist Torbjorn JSale
24 Jul 2026, EVP & Chief Operations Officer
- Shares
- 20,000
- Price
- $119.91
- Value
- $2.4M
- Kirby J ScottSale
21 Jul 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 159,321
- Price
- $118.05
- Value
- $18.81M
- Kirby J ScottSale
16 Jun 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 1,078
- Price
- $120.74
- Value
- $130,154
- Kirby J ScottSale
15 Jun 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 48,303
- Price
- $121.30
- Value
- $5.86M
- Gebo KateSale
26 May 2026, EVP HR and Labor Relations
- Shares
- 40,000
- Price
- $105.43
- Value
- $4.22M
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at United Airlines Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 65
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Airlines and Airports
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Delta Air LinesDAL $60.08B72
- Aena S.M.E.AENA.MC $47.7B75
- Ryanair HoldingsRYA.IR $29.97B75
- International Consolidated Airlines GroupIAG.MC $26.46B73
- InterGlobe AviationINDIGO.NS $23.38B54
- Southwest AirlinesLUV $22.75B65
- Air China601111.SS $19.23B33
- LATAM Airlines GroupLTM $14.05B69
ETFs that hold United Airlines Holdings
Held by 109 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global X S&P 500 Covered Call UCITS ETF IncXY7D | 2.05% | 0.45% | €203.27M |
| Invesco NASDAQ Next Generation 100 UCITS ETF AccEQQJ | 2.00% | 0.25% | €44.3M |
| iShares S&P 500 Industrials Sector UCITS ETF2B7C | 0.70% | 0.15% | €635.94M |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Industrials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDI | 0.69% | 0.15% | €874.42M |
| Invesco S&P 500 QVM UCITS ETFQVMP | 0.61% | 0.35% | €50.82M |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.42% | 0.20% | €268.74M |
| First Trust US Large Cap Core AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGU | 0.35% | 0.75% | €140.24M |
| iShares Edge MSCI USA Value Factor UCITS ETFQDVI | 0.26% | 0.20% | €2.9B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Nov 2023)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.