Southwest Airlines stock
LUVNYSESouthwest Airlines Co., IndustrialsISIN US8447411088
65Score 65 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
68 / 100
Price history
+45% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 6.7% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 68).
The price is 15% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 70% (August 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$41.62
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$43.56
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)68
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$31.16
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$54.80
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Southwest Airlines Co. belongs to the Airlines and Airports industry (United States) and, with a market value of $22.75B, is number 7 of 51 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $28.06B (up 2.1% year on year) and earnings of $441M (down 5.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $33.46B (up 19.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.76 (up 178.3%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 65 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 388 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 21.8 (Airlines and Airports median 15.9, own median of recent years 26).
- Our model puts fair value at $104.38, with the price 55% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 34.7% a year through 2028 (estimates from 15 analysts).Growth 70
- Below fair valuePrice 55% below the fair value of $104.38.Valuation 87
Weaknesses
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$725M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 51
Its standout strengths are momentum and valuation, while stability holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $74.56 and expensive above $173.97 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $174.78 (cash-flow model) and $33.98 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $88.08, at 7.8% it would be $128.99.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (15.9).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 14.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 6% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 17%, operating 2%, net 2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 27 Jan 2027in 76 days
- Last reported
- 21 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.66 (expected $0.57)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 4.5% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $2.76−4.2%
- Revenue
- $33.46B+1.0%
- Earnings per share
- $4.02−4.5%
- Revenue
- $35.85B+2.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: −5.4%2026 EPS guidance is now $3.25 to $4.25 instead of at least $4 because of fuel, while the third quarter unit revenue outlook is strong at up 17.5% to 19.5%.
“Looking ahead, we expect third quarter unit revenue growth of 17.5% to 19.5% year over year with a strong exit rate from Q2.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 23 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Southwest Airlines
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 65
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Airlines and Airports
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- United Airlines HoldingsUAL $38.46B65
- Ryanair HoldingsRYA.IR $29.97B75
- International Consolidated Airlines GroupIAG.MC $26.46B73
- InterGlobe AviationINDIGO.NS $23.38B54
- Air China601111.SS $19.23B33
- LATAM Airlines GroupLTM $14.05B69
- China Southern Airlines600029.SS $14.02B34
- Aeroports de ParisADP.PA $12.88B56
ETFs that hold Southwest Airlines
Held by 40 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Industrials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDI | 0.42% | 0.15% | €874.42M |
| iShares S&P 500 Industrials Sector UCITS ETF2B7C | 0.42% | 0.15% | €635.94M |
| Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK | 0.34% | 0.39% | €188.08M |
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| Xtrackers S&P 500 Equal Weight UCITS ETF 1CXDEW | 0.23% | 0.15% | €14.88B |
| First Trust US Large Cap Core AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGU | 0.19% | 0.75% | €140.24M |
| WisdomTree US Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF USD AccWTDM | 0.18% | 0.33% | €721.26M |
| State Street SPDR S&P 500 Leaders UCITS ETF (Acc)SPPY | 0.08% | 0.03% | €4.25B |
| iShares S&P 500 Scored and Screened UCITS ETFCBUM | 0.06% | 0.10% | €329.49M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Apr 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.